Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 28/08, 02:00

Prediction: CD Cuenca Jrs vs Club 9 de Octubre

Team pages: CD Cuenca Jrs · Club 9 de Octubre

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.85Total

CD Cuenca Jrs1.02

Club 9 de Octubre0.83

1X2

39% 32% 28%

CD Cuenca Jrs Draw Club 9 de Octubre

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Cuenca Jrs 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDLWL

Club 9 de Octubre 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWDLDD

Head-to-head

CD Cuenca Jrs 1–2–0 Club 9 de Octubre (3 last)

Club 9 de Octubre3-3CD Cuenca Jrs
CD Cuenca Jrs0-0Club 9 de Octubre
CD Cuenca Jrs2-1Club 9 de Octubre

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Cuenca Jrs 1509 · Club 9 de Octubre 1504

	CD Cuenca Jrs	Draw	Club 9 de Octubre
Our model	38%	35%	27%
Market	40%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.85 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Cuenca Jrs	Club 9 de Octubre
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1	0.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.3 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/22/33%	22/78/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.7	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X2.90

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.77

Under 1.752.02

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 13.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:12 +4’	2.20	2.90	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Cuenca Jrs 1–2–0 Club 9 de Octubre

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	Club 9 de Octubre	3-3 HT 1-2	CD Cuenca Jrs
27/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	CD Cuenca Jrs	0-0 HT 0-0	Club 9 de Octubre
22/10/25 Ecuador Cup	CD Cuenca Jrs	2-1 HT 2-0	Club 9 de Octubre

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente Juniors	22	10	9	3	28	16	39
2	Atletico FC Guayaquil	22	9	11	2	25	14	38
3	Club 9 de Octubre	22	9	10	3	22	14	37
4	CD Cuenca Jrs	22	9	7	6	20	23	34
5	Vinotinto Ecuador	22	8	7	7	25	17	31
6	San Antonio FC Cotacachi	22	7	10	5	24	21	31

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Cuenca Jrs	Club 9 de Octubre
Gualaceo SC	0-3 L	0-0 D
22 de Julio	1-0 W	1-0 W
Vinotinto Ecuador	0-2 L	2-1 W
Cumbaya	0-0 D	0-0 D
Atletico FC Guayaquil	0-0 D	0-0 D
CD Vargas Torres	1-0 W	0-0 D
LDU Portoviejo	1-0 W	1-1 D
San Antonio FC Cotacachi	1-0 W	0-0 D
Independiente Juniors	0-4 L	2-2 D
El Nacional	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 7 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Cuenca Jrs (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Cuenca Jrs

WLWWWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-3	1	7	L
14/08	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
30/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
24/07	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
17/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
09/07	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	7	11	W
03/07	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
10/06	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-3	0-4	5	5	L
07/06	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	3-1	4-1	4	7	W

Club 9 de Octubre

DWDDDWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/08	San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
15/08	Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	–	2-2	–	–	D
06/08	El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
30/07	CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
25/07	22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
16/07	Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
11/07	Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
04/07	LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
09/06	Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
03/06	Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Club 9 de Octubre?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Cuenca Jrs win (39%). Probabilities: CD Cuenca Jrs 39%, draw 32%, Club 9 de Octubre 28%.

How many goals are expected in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Club 9 de Octubre?

The model expects 1.85 goals (CD Cuenca Jrs 1.02 · Club 9 de Octubre 0.83), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Cuenca Jrs vs Club 9 de Octubre?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.