Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 26/08, 22:30
Prediction: Cumbaya vs LDU Portoviejo
Team pages: Cumbaya · LDU Portoviejo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Cumbaya1.16
LDU Portoviejo0.67
1X2
Cumbaya
Draw
LDU Portoviejo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Cumbaya
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
LDU Portoviejo
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cumbaya
3–3–0
LDU Portoviejo
(6 last)
- LDU Portoviejo0-0Cumbaya
- Cumbaya1-1LDU Portoviejo
- Cumbaya4-3LDU Portoviejo
- LDU Portoviejo1-2Cumbaya
- Cumbaya1-1LDU Portoviejo
- LDU Portoviejo1-3Cumbaya
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cumbaya 1501 · LDU Portoviejo 1475
| Cumbaya | Draw | LDU Portoviejo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 34% | 20% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cumbaya: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cumbaya | LDU Portoviejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/67/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumbaya 3–3–0 LDU Portoviejo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cumbaya |
| 13/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 13/10/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 4-3 HT 3-1 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 04/07/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 1-2 | Cumbaya |
| 13/06/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Cumbaya | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LDU Portoviejo |
| 21/04/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | LDU Portoviejo | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Cumbaya |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 3 | CD Vargas Torres | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 4 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 9 |
| 6 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cumbaya | LDU Portoviejo |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Vargas Torres | 3-3 D | 1-0 W |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| 22 de Julio | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 5 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cumbaya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/08 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 30/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/07 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 10/06 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/06 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
LDU Portoviejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/08 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 30/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 11 | L |
| 04/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 10/06 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cumbaya vs LDU Portoviejo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cumbaya win (48%). Probabilities: Cumbaya 48%, draw 31%, LDU Portoviejo 21%.
How many goals are expected in Cumbaya vs LDU Portoviejo?
The model expects 1.84 goals (Cumbaya 1.16 · LDU Portoviejo 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cumbaya vs LDU Portoviejo?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.