Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 12/09, 20:00
Prediction: Club 9 de Octubre vs Independiente Juniors
Team pages: Club 9 de Octubre · Independiente Juniors
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Club 9 de Octubre1.05
Independiente Juniors0.68
1X2
Club 9 de Octubre
Draw
Independiente Juniors
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Club 9 de Octubre
1-8-1 (W-D-L)
Independiente Juniors
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club 9 de Octubre
1–3–2
Independiente Juniors
(6 last)
- Club 9 de Octubre2-2Independiente Juniors
- Independiente Juniors0-0Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre2-1Independiente Juniors
- Independiente Juniors2-1Club 9 de Octubre
- Independiente Juniors1-0Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre0-0Independiente Juniors
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club 9 de Octubre 1515 · Independiente Juniors 1542
| Club 9 de Octubre | Draw | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 35% | 22% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.73 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Juniors: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club 9 de Octubre | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.1 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club 9 de Octubre 1–3–2 Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-2 | Independiente Juniors |
| 25/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 08/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Independiente Juniors |
| 09/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 17/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Independiente Juniors | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 07/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Independiente Juniors |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Juniors | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 43 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 19 | 40 |
| 4 | Club 9 de Octubre | 24 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 39 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 35 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 28 | 32 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club 9 de Octubre | Independiente Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| El Nacional | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Vargas Torres | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| 22 de Julio | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Gualaceo SC | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| LDU Portoviejo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 6 D 1 L | 4 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Independiente Juniors (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 13 | D |
| 28/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
Independiente Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 23/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club 9 de Octubre vs Independiente Juniors?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club 9 de Octubre win (44%). Probabilities: Club 9 de Octubre 44%, draw 33%, Independiente Juniors 23%.
How many goals are expected in Club 9 de Octubre vs Independiente Juniors?
The model expects 1.73 goals (Club 9 de Octubre 1.05 · Independiente Juniors 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Club 9 de Octubre vs Independiente Juniors?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.