Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 26/09, 20:00
Prediction: Club 9 de Octubre vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Team pages: Club 9 de Octubre · San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
Club 9 de Octubre1.26
San Antonio FC Cotacachi0.73
1X2
Club 9 de Octubre
Draw
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Club 9 de Octubre
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club 9 de Octubre
3–3–0
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
(6 last)
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi0-0Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre2-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- Club 9 de Octubre1-1San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi2-2Club 9 de Octubre
- Club 9 de Octubre1-0San Antonio FC Cotacachi
- San Antonio FC Cotacachi1-2Club 9 de Octubre
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club 9 de Octubre 1516 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 1473
| Club 9 de Octubre | Draw | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club 9 de Octubre (rating 1516 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Club 9 de Octubre: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club 9 de Octubre | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/67/22% | 22/67/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 5 | 1.2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club 9 de Octubre 3–3–0 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 21/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 2-0 HT 1-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 01/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-1 HT 0-1 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 02/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Club 9 de Octubre |
| 25/07/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Club 9 de Octubre | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
| 16/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Club 9 de Octubre |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vinotinto Ecuador | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 21 | 46 |
| 2 | Atletico FC Guayaquil | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 33 | 18 | 46 |
| 3 | Independiente Juniors | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 44 |
| 4 | Club 9 de Octubre | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 42 |
| 5 | CD Cuenca Jrs | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 32 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club 9 de Octubre | San Antonio FC Cotacachi |
|---|---|---|
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Independiente Juniors | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| El Nacional | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Cumbaya | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Club 9 de Octubre (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club 9 de Octubre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 13 | D |
| 28/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 20/08 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 30/07 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 16/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
San Antonio FC Cotacachi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 03/09 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 20/08 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 13/08 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 06/08 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/07 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club 9 de Octubre vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club 9 de Octubre win (49%). Probabilities: Club 9 de Octubre 49%, draw 30%, San Antonio FC Cotacachi 21%.
How many goals are expected in Club 9 de Octubre vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
The model expects 2 goals (Club 9 de Octubre 1.26 · San Antonio FC Cotacachi 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club 9 de Octubre vs San Antonio FC Cotacachi?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.