Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 29/08, 18:00
Prediction: Omonia Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
Omonia Nicosia2.46
Omonia Aradippou0.65
1X2
Omonia Nicosia
Draw
Omonia Aradippou
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Omonia Nicosia
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Omonia Aradippou
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Omonia Nicosia
4–0
Omonia Aradippou
(4 last)
- Omonia Aradippou0-2Omonia Nicosia
- Omonia Nicosia3-1Omonia Aradippou
- Omonia Nicosia3-1Omonia Aradippou
- Omonia Aradippou3-5Omonia Nicosia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Omonia Nicosia 1616 · Omonia Aradippou 1492
| Omonia Nicosia | Draw | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | 77% | 16% | 7% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Omonia Nicosia (rating 1616 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Omonia Nicosia: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Omonia Nicosia | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.1 | 3.2 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Omonia Nicosia 4–0–0 Omonia Aradippou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Omonia Nicosia |
| 01/12/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 16/02/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Nicosia | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Omonia Aradippou |
| 10/11/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Omonia Aradippou | 3-5 HT 1-4 | Omonia Nicosia |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Omonia Nicosia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 06/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/04 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 21/03 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Omonia Aradippou
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 19/04 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 11 | D |
| 04/04 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 20/03 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/03 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/02 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Omonia Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Omonia Nicosia win (76%). Probabilities: Omonia Nicosia 76%, draw 16%, Omonia Aradippou 7%.
How many goals are expected in Omonia Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou?
The model expects 3.11 goals (Omonia Nicosia 2.46 · Omonia Aradippou 0.65), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Omonia Nicosia vs Omonia Aradippou?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.