Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 29/08, 18:00
Prediction: AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
AEL Limassol1.59
Anorthosis Famagusta1.25
1X2
AEL Limassol
Draw
Anorthosis Famagusta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
AEL Limassol
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Anorthosis Famagusta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AEL Limassol
1–5
Anorthosis Famagusta
(6 last)
- AEL Limassol0-1Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta2-1AEL Limassol
- AEL Limassol4-1Anorthosis Famagusta
- AEL Limassol1-3Anorthosis Famagusta
- AEL Limassol0-1Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta1-0AEL Limassol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AEL Limassol 1502 · Anorthosis Famagusta 1520
| AEL Limassol | Draw | Anorthosis Famagusta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Anorthosis Famagusta: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AEL Limassol | Anorthosis Famagusta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 3.4 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AEL Limassol 1–0–5 Anorthosis Famagusta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 Cyprus Division 1 | AEL Limassol | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 25/01/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 2-1 HT 0-1 | AEL Limassol |
| 04/10/25 Cyprus Division 1 | AEL Limassol | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 25/04/25 Cyprus Division 1 | AEL Limassol | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 08/02/25 Cyprus Division 1 | AEL Limassol | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 04/11/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AEL Limassol |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AEL Limassol | Anorthosis Famagusta |
|---|---|---|
| Akritas Chlorakas | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Olympiakos Nicosia | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Enosis Paralimni | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Omonia Aradippou | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Ethnikos Achnas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Apollon Limassol | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Apoel Nicosia | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Anorthosis Famagusta (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AEL Limassol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Anorthosis Famagusta Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 08/03 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/02 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
Anorthosis Famagusta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 05/04 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 08/03 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/02 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AEL Limassol win (44%). Probabilities: AEL Limassol 44%, draw 27%, Anorthosis Famagusta 29%.
How many goals are expected in AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
The model expects 2.84 goals (AEL Limassol 1.59 · Anorthosis Famagusta 1.25), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AEL Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.