Football · Cyprus Division 1 · 05/09, 18:00
Prediction: Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta
Team pages: Apollon Limassol · Anorthosis Famagusta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Apollon Limassol1.88
Anorthosis Famagusta0.83
1X2
Apollon Limassol
Draw
Anorthosis Famagusta
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Apollon Limassol
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Anorthosis Famagusta
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Apollon Limassol
4–2–0
Anorthosis Famagusta
(6 last)
- Anorthosis Famagusta1-1Apollon Limassol
- Apollon Limassol2-0Anorthosis Famagusta
- Apollon Limassol0-0Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta1-3Apollon Limassol
- Apollon Limassol2-0Anorthosis Famagusta
- Anorthosis Famagusta1-2Apollon Limassol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Apollon Limassol 1530 · Anorthosis Famagusta 1494
| Apollon Limassol | Draw | Anorthosis Famagusta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Apollon Limassol: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Apollon Limassol | Anorthosis Famagusta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 3.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Apollon Limassol 4–2–0 Anorthosis Famagusta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Apollon Limassol |
| 14/01/26 Cyprus Cup | Apollon Limassol | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 07/12/25 Cyprus Division 1 | Apollon Limassol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 29/01/25 Cyprus Cup | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Apollon Limassol |
| 21/12/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Apollon Limassol | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Anorthosis Famagusta |
| 31/08/24 Cyprus Division 1 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Apollon Limassol |
Standings · Cyprus Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omonia 29is Maiou | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Pafos FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | AEL Limassol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Nea Salamis Famagusta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 6 | Olympiakos Nicosia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Apollon Limassol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Aris Limassol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Omonia Aradippou | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Omonia Nicosia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Apoel Nicosia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Anorthosis Famagusta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | APK Karmotissa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Apollon Limassol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 22/05 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/05 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | Pafos FC Cyprus Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Omonia Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Aris Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | AEK Larnaca Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 2 | D |
Anorthosis Famagusta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Olympiakos Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 08/05 | Krasava ENY Ypsonas Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Enosis Paralimni Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | AEL Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Omonia Aradippou Cyprus Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 11 | D |
| 05/04 | Ethnikos Achnas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Akritas Chlorakas Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Apollon Limassol Cyprus Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 08/03 | Apoel Nicosia Cyprus Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Apollon Limassol win (61%). Probabilities: Apollon Limassol 61%, draw 23%, Anorthosis Famagusta 15%.
How many goals are expected in Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Apollon Limassol 1.88 · Anorthosis Famagusta 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Apollon Limassol vs Anorthosis Famagusta?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.