Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · 27/08, 22:30
Prediction: 22 de Julio vs Deportivo Santo Domingo
Team pages: 22 de Julio · Deportivo Santo Domingo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.64Total
22 de Julio0.57
Deportivo Santo Domingo1.06
1X2
22 de Julio
Draw
Deportivo Santo Domingo
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
22 de Julio
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Santo Domingo
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
22 de Julio
0–3–3
Deportivo Santo Domingo
(6 last)
- CD Vargas Torres1-022 de Julio
- 22 de Julio0-0CD Vargas Torres
- 22 de Julio0-0CD Vargas Torres
- CD Vargas Torres4-022 de Julio
- CD Vargas Torres2-122 de Julio
- 22 de Julio1-1CD Vargas Torres
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 22 de Julio 1396 · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1509
| 22 de Julio | Draw | Deportivo Santo Domingo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 18% | 36% | 46% |
| Market | 22% | 28% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.64 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santo Domingo (rating 1396 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Deportivo Santo Domingo: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 22 de Julio | Deportivo Santo Domingo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.2 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/25/75% | 13/50/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 22 de Julio 0–3–3 Deportivo Santo Domingo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 1-0 | 22 de Julio |
| 03/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 0-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 12/10/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 0-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
| 04/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 4-0 HT 2-0 | 22 de Julio |
| 18/06/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | CD Vargas Torres | 2-1 HT 1-0 | 22 de Julio |
| 09/04/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | 22 de Julio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CD Vargas Torres |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Serie B 2026, Relegation Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 22 | 27 |
| 2 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 26 |
| 3 | CD Vargas Torres | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 4 | Gualaceo SC | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 16 | 23 |
| 5 | El Nacional | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 32 | 9 |
| 6 | 22 de Julio | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 31 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 22 de Julio | Deportivo Santo Domingo |
|---|---|---|
| LDU Portoviejo | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| CD Cuenca Jrs | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Independiente Juniors | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| El Nacional | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Club 9 de Octubre | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Vinotinto Ecuador | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Cumbaya | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Atletico FC Guayaquil | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 8 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santo Domingo (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
22 de Julio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/08 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Gualaceo SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/07 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/06 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | CD Vargas Torres Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Deportivo Santo Domingo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Vinotinto Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/08 | Cumbaya Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/08 | Atletico FC Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/07 | Club 9 de Octubre Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | CD Cuenca Jrs Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | San Antonio FC Cotacachi Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Independiente Juniors Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | El Nacional Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | 22 de Julio Ecuador LigaPro Serie B |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 22 de Julio vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Santo Domingo win (48%). Probabilities: 22 de Julio 21%, draw 31%, Deportivo Santo Domingo 48%.
How many goals are expected in 22 de Julio vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?
The model expects 1.64 goals (22 de Julio 0.57 · Deportivo Santo Domingo 1.06), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in 22 de Julio vs Deportivo Santo Domingo?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.