Football · Austria Bundesliga · 02/09, 18:30

Prediction: FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol

Team pages: FK Austria Vienna · WSG Swarovski Tirol

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

FK Austria Vienna1.92

WSG Swarovski Tirol1.14

1X2

54% 25% 21%

FK Austria Vienna Draw WSG Swarovski Tirol

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Austria Vienna 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLDWWLLLW

WSG Swarovski Tirol 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LDDWLDLDLL

Head-to-head

FK Austria Vienna 4–1–1 WSG Swarovski Tirol (6 last)

FK Austria Vienna0-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol2-3FK Austria Vienna
WSG Swarovski Tirol0-2FK Austria Vienna
FK Austria Vienna3-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-0FK Austria Vienna
FK Austria Vienna3-0WSG Swarovski Tirol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Austria Vienna 1551 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1459

	FK Austria Vienna	Draw	WSG Swarovski Tirol
Our model	55%	24%	21%
Market	54%	25%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Austria Vienna (rating 1551 vs 1459).
H2H favours FK Austria Vienna: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Austria Vienna	WSG Swarovski Tirol
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.6	0.6 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.70 → 3.75▲	Bet365 3.75
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:34 +8’	1.73	3.70	4.50
04:32 +7’	1.73	3.75▲	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Austria Vienna 4–1–1 WSG Swarovski Tirol

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	0-0 HT 0-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
18/10/25 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	2-3 HT 1-2	FK Austria Vienna
16/03/25 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Austria Vienna
26/10/24 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	3-0 HT 0-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
23/04/24 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Austria Vienna
20/04/24 Austria Bundesliga	FK Austria Vienna	3-0 HT 2-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	3	3	0	0	11	1	9
2	LASK Linz	3	3	0	0	9	1	9
3	SK Sturm Graz	4	2	2	0	5	2	8
4	FC Salzburg	3	2	1	0	5	1	7
5	Austria Lustenau	4	1	2	1	5	5	5
6	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
7	SV Ried	4	1	1	2	4	7	4
8	FK Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
9	Hartberg	4	1	0	3	2	6	3
10	Grazer AK	4	1	0	3	2	13	3
11	SCR Altach	4	1	0	3	4	5	3
12	WSG Swarovski Tirol	3	0	1	2	2	7	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Austria Vienna	WSG Swarovski Tirol
Wolfsberger AC	0-3 L	0-2 L
SK Sturm Graz	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Salzburg	1-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Austria Vienna

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
09/08	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	1	5	L
02/08	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	3	3	L
17/05	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	8	2	L
10/05	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
03/05	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
26/04	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
22/04	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-3	0	5	L
19/04	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	1-3	6	6	L
12/04	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D

WSG Swarovski Tirol

LDDWLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
07/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
01/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
16/05	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
09/05	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
02/05	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-4	5	3	L
25/04	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
21/04	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
18/04	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-2	2-2	6	3	D
11/04	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-5	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Austria Vienna win (54%). Probabilities: FK Austria Vienna 54%, draw 25%, WSG Swarovski Tirol 21%.

How many goals are expected in FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

The model expects 3.06 goals (FK Austria Vienna 1.92 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Austria Vienna vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.