Football · Austria Bundesliga · 30/08, 17:00

Prediction: Hartberg vs SV Ried

Team pages: Hartberg · SV Ried

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Hartberg1.22
SV Ried1.29
1X2
34% 28% 38%
Hartberg Draw SV Ried
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Hartberg 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWLLLW
SV Ried 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLWLDLLW
Head-to-head
Hartberg 6–0 SV Ried (6 last)
  • Hartberg2-0SV Ried
  • SV Ried0-2Hartberg
  • Hartberg2-0SV Ried
  • SV Ried1-3Hartberg
  • SV Ried0-1Hartberg
  • Hartberg2-0SV Ried
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hartberg 1518 · SV Ried 1483
HartbergDrawSV Ried
Our model34%29%37%
Market35%27%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Hartberg: 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HartbergSV Ried
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.90.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.22.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.13.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hartberg 600 SV Ried

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/11/25
Austria Bundesliga
Hartberg2-0
HT 1-0
SV Ried
14/09/25
Austria Bundesliga
SV Ried0-2
HT 0-1
Hartberg
27/05/23
Austria Bundesliga
Hartberg2-0
HT 0-0
SV Ried
08/04/23
Austria Bundesliga
SV Ried1-3
HT 0-1
Hartberg
12/02/23
Austria Bundesliga
SV Ried0-1
HT 0-0
Hartberg
27/08/22
Austria Bundesliga
Hartberg2-0
HT 0-0
SV Ried

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Rapid Vienna 3300 1119
2 LASK Linz 3300 919
3 SK Sturm Graz 4220 528
4 FC Salzburg 3210 517
5 Austria Lustenau 4121 555
6 Wolfsberger AC 3111 534
7 SV Ried 4112 474
8 FK Austria Vienna 3102 253
9 Hartberg 4103 263
10 Grazer AK 4103 2133
11 SCR Altach 4103 453
12 WSG Swarovski Tirol 3012 271

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHartbergSV Ried
SCR Altach 2-1 W 0-2 L
LASK Linz 1-5 L 1-4 L
Rapid Vienna 2-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hartberg (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hartberg

DWLLLWLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-1 22 W
16/08 FK Austria Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-2 83 L
08/08 SK Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-2 33 L
01/08 FC Salzburg
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-1 20 L
17/05 FC Salzburg
Austria Bundesliga
2-0 3-1 22 W
10/05 SK Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga
1-3 2-4 26 L
03/05 FK Austria Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-1 21 L
26/04 LASK Linz
Austria Bundesliga
0-2 1-5 64 L
22/04 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-0 14 W
19/04 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-2 44 D

SV Ried

LWLLWLDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Grazer AK
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 1-0 77 W
14/08 LASK Linz
Austria Bundesliga
1-3 1-4 04 L
09/08 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 1-2 32 L
02/08 Austria Lustenau
Austria Bundesliga
1-1 1-1 94 D
25/05 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-3 41 L
22/05 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-1 42 W
16/05 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-2 45 L
09/05 Wolfsberger AC
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-1 74 L
02/05 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-0 55 W
25/04 WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-1 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hartberg vs SV Ried?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Ried win (38%). Probabilities: Hartberg 34%, draw 28%, SV Ried 38%.

How many goals are expected in Hartberg vs SV Ried?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Hartberg 1.22 · SV Ried 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hartberg vs SV Ried?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.