Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 26/08, 20:00
Prediction: RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
RAEC Mons1.79
RFC Meux1.03
1X2
RAEC Mons
Draw
RFC Meux
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
RAEC Mons
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
RFC Meux
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RAEC Mons
3–1–0
RFC Meux
(4 last)
- RAEC Mons3-0RFC Meux
- RFC Meux3-4RAEC Mons
- RAEC Mons1-1RFC Meux
- RFC Meux0-2RAEC Mons
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · RAEC Mons 1569 · RFC Meux 1483
| RAEC Mons | Draw | RFC Meux | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 55% | 23% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RAEC Mons (rating 1569 vs 1483).
- H2H favours RAEC Mons: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RAEC Mons | RFC Meux | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RAEC Mons 3–1–0 RFC Meux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | RAEC Mons | 3-0 HT 2-0 | RFC Meux |
| 28/03/26 Belgium First Amateur Division | RFC Meux | 3-4 HT 2-1 | RAEC Mons |
| 08/11/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | RAEC Mons | 1-1 HT 0-0 | RFC Meux |
| 06/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division | RFC Meux | 0-2 HT 0-1 | RAEC Mons |
Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Flenu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ROC Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RAEC Mons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RCS Onhaye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RFC Meux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Charleroi U23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tubize | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RSC Habay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RWD Molenbeek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Standard Liege II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Rochefortoise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RAEC Mons | RFC Meux |
|---|---|---|
| RSC Habay | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Tubize | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Excelsior Virton | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Union Rochefortoise | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: RFC Meux (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RAEC Mons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | RFC Meux Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 21/03 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/03 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 28/02 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
RFC Meux
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 28/03 | RAEC Mons Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Union Rochefortoise Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | RSC Habay Belgium First Amateur Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/02 | Tubize Belgium First Amateur Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RAEC Mons win (55%). Probabilities: RAEC Mons 55%, draw 24%, RFC Meux 21%.
How many goals are expected in RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux?
The model expects 2.83 goals (RAEC Mons 1.79 · RFC Meux 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in RAEC Mons vs RFC Meux?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.