Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 05/09, 19:30

Prediction: Dessel Sport vs Hoogstraten VV

Team pages: Dessel Sport · Hoogstraten VV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Dessel Sport1.84

Hoogstraten VV1.48

1X2

46% 24% 31%

Dessel Sport Draw Hoogstraten VV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Dessel Sport 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWDLW

Hoogstraten VV 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDWWDL

Head-to-head

Dessel Sport 2–4 Hoogstraten VV (6 last)

Hoogstraten VV2-0Dessel Sport
Dessel Sport1-3Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV0-1Dessel Sport
Dessel Sport2-3Hoogstraten VV
Dessel Sport2-0Hoogstraten VV
Hoogstraten VV2-1Dessel Sport

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dessel Sport 1519 · Hoogstraten VV 1551

	Dessel Sport	Draw	Hoogstraten VV
Our model	45%	25%	30%
Market	46%	23%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hoogstraten VV: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dessel Sport	Hoogstraten VV
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.2	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1.2	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.3	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.80

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 1.95▼	Pinn 1.97
X	3.60 → 3.80▲	Bet365 3.80
2	2.60 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.15 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:34 +18’	2.20	3.60	2.60
09:47 +6’	1.95▼	3.80▲	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:32 +2’	1.96	3.76	3.17
03:24 +1’	1.97▲	3.76	3.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dessel Sport 2–0–4 Hoogstraten VV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/12/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	2-0 HT 1-0	Dessel Sport
10/09/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	1-3 HT 1-1	Hoogstraten VV
15/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	0-1 HT 0-1	Dessel Sport
01/09/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	2-3 HT 1-1	Hoogstraten VV
20/03/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Dessel Sport	2-0 HT 1-0	Hoogstraten VV
21/10/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	Hoogstraten VV	2-1 HT 0-0	Dessel Sport

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	RWD Molenbeek	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Tubize	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	RFC Meux	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	ROC Charleroi	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	Sporting Charleroi U23	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	RCS Onhaye	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	RAEC Mons	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
9	Standard Liege II	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
10	RSC Habay	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
11	Union Saint Gilloise II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
12	FC Flenu	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dessel Sport	Hoogstraten VV
Tienen	4-3 W	1-1 D
KVV Zelzate	3-1 W	2-1 W
Royal Knokke	4-3 W	1-1 D
Belisia Bilzen SV	0-3 L	5-3 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Dessel Sport (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dessel Sport

WLLLWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	3-2	4-3	7	3	W
26/04	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
18/04	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	2-2	5	2	D
12/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	4	1	W
28/03	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	3-1	2	3	W
21/03	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-3	4-3	6	3	W
14/03	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
07/03	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-3	4	1	L
01/03	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-3	3	1	L
21/02	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	3-2	4	3	W

Hoogstraten VV

DWWWLDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	2-3	12	3	L
26/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
18/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
11/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	2	1	W
28/03	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
21/03	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
15/03	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
08/03	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	2	1	W
28/02	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	2-1	5-3	8	4	W
22/02	Royal Knokke Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dessel Sport vs Hoogstraten VV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dessel Sport win (46%). Probabilities: Dessel Sport 46%, draw 24%, Hoogstraten VV 31%.

How many goals are expected in Dessel Sport vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Dessel Sport 1.84 · Hoogstraten VV 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dessel Sport vs Hoogstraten VV?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.