Football · Belgium First Amateur Division · 05/09, 20:00

Prediction: KVV Thes Sport vs Royal Knokke

Team pages: KVV Thes Sport · Royal Knokke

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

KVV Thes Sport1.39

Royal Knokke1.68

1X2

31% 26% 43%

KVV Thes Sport Draw Royal Knokke

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KVV Thes Sport 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDWWLD

Royal Knokke 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

KVV Thes Sport 3–2–1 Royal Knokke (6 last)

Royal Knokke2-1KVV Thes Sport
KVV Thes Sport1-0Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke1-1KVV Thes Sport
KVV Thes Sport2-2Royal Knokke
Royal Knokke1-3KVV Thes Sport
KVV Thes Sport4-2Royal Knokke

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KVV Thes Sport 1489 · Royal Knokke 1535

	KVV Thes Sport	Draw	Royal Knokke
Our model	31%	26%	43%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Royal Knokke (rating 1489 vs 1535).
H2H favours KVV Thes Sport: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KVV Thes Sport	Royal Knokke
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.3	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.50

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 3.11 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.14

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:25 +3’	2.88	3.50	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:34 +3’	3.11	3.30	2.14

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KVV Thes Sport 3–2–1 Royal Knokke

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/12/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	2-1 HT 0-0	KVV Thes Sport
25/10/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Thes Sport	1-0 HT 1-0	Royal Knokke
23/03/25 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	1-1 HT 1-1	KVV Thes Sport
09/11/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Thes Sport	2-2 HT 1-1	Royal Knokke
28/01/24 Belgium First Amateur Division	Royal Knokke	1-3 HT 1-2	KVV Thes Sport
25/11/23 Belgium First Amateur Division	KVV Thes Sport	4-2 HT 2-2	Royal Knokke

Standings · Belgium First Amateur Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	2	2	0	0	6	2	6
2	RWD Molenbeek	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
3	Tubize	2	2	0	0	2	0	6
4	RFC Meux	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
5	ROC Charleroi	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
6	Sporting Charleroi U23	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
7	RCS Onhaye	2	1	0	1	2	3	3
8	RAEC Mons	2	0	1	1	0	1	1
9	Standard Liege II	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
10	RSC Habay	2	0	0	2	3	6	0
11	Union Saint Gilloise II	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
12	FC Flenu	2	0	0	2	1	5	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KVV Thes Sport	Royal Knokke
K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	3-3 D	1-0 W
Diegem Sport	6-3 W	3-0 W
Tienen	0-0 D	2-0 W
Dessel Sport	3-2 W	3-4 L
KVV Zelzate	1-2 L	3-2 W
Belisia Bilzen SV	0-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Royal Knokke (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KVV Thes Sport

LLWDLDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	3-3	6	2	D
26/04	SK Roeselare Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
19/04	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	3-2	6-3	4	2	W
11/04	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
28/03	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/03	KFC Merelbeke Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	0-2	7	1	L
13/03	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
07/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
28/02	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-2	9	1	L
21/02	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	0-3	5	2	L

Royal Knokke

DWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	KSK Heist Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
26/04	KVV Zelzate Belgium First Amateur Division	0-2	3-2	11	6	W
19/04	Tienen Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	2-0	2	2	W
11/04	KVK Ninove Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
29/03	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
21/03	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	3-1	3-4	5	3	L
15/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
08/03	Belisia Bilzen SV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	3-2	2	3	W
01/03	Diegem Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	1-0	3-0	4	7	W
22/02	Hoogstraten VV Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KVV Thes Sport vs Royal Knokke?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Royal Knokke win (43%). Probabilities: KVV Thes Sport 31%, draw 26%, Royal Knokke 43%.

How many goals are expected in KVV Thes Sport vs Royal Knokke?

The model expects 3.08 goals (KVV Thes Sport 1.39 · Royal Knokke 1.68), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KVV Thes Sport vs Royal Knokke?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.