Football · Uganda Premier League · 15/10, 18:00

Prediction: URA vs Entebbe UPPC

Team pages: URA · Entebbe UPPC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.73Total

URA0.82

Entebbe UPPC0.91

1X2

30% 34% 36%

URA Draw Entebbe UPPC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 19%

Recent form · 10 last

URA 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDDDWWLLL

Entebbe UPPC 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWLDW

Head-to-head

URA 3–1–2 Entebbe UPPC (6 last)

Entebbe UPPC0-0URA
URA0-1Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC0-1URA
URA2-0Entebbe UPPC
URA4-0Entebbe UPPC
Entebbe UPPC2-1URA

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · URA 1458 · Entebbe UPPC 1547

	URA	Draw	Entebbe UPPC
Our model	29%	36%	35%
Market	31%	32%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 1.73 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Entebbe UPPC (rating 1458 vs 1547).
H2H favours URA: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	URA	Entebbe UPPC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.1	1.5 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.9	1.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X2.80

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.05

2 (0)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.75

Under 1.752.05

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:54 +10’	2.88	2.80	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · URA 3–1–2 Entebbe UPPC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	0-0 HT 0-0	URA
13/01/26 Uganda Premier League	URA	0-1 HT 0-0	Entebbe UPPC
02/02/24 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	0-1 HT 0-1	URA
22/09/23 Uganda Premier League	URA	2-0 HT 1-0	Entebbe UPPC
23/05/23 Uganda Premier League	URA	4-0 HT 1-0	Entebbe UPPC
20/12/22 Uganda Premier League	Entebbe UPPC	2-1 HT 2-0	URA

Standings · Uganda Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	BUL FC	5	4	1	0	11	3	13
2	NEC FC Bugolobi	5	3	2	0	9	2	11
3	SC Villa	5	3	2	0	8	2	11
4	Entebbe UPPC	5	3	1	1	6	2	10
5	KCCA	6	3	1	2	4	4	10
6	Blacks Power	6	3	0	3	6	9	9
7	Kitara FC	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
8	Maroons	6	2	1	3	9	7	7
9	Uganda Police FC	5	2	1	2	3	4	7
10	Vipers SC	4	2	1	1	8	2	7
11	Lugazi FC	6	2	1	3	4	9	7
12	UPDF FC	4	1	2	1	2	2	5
13	Express FC	5	1	2	2	3	4	5
14	Mbarara City	5	1	2	2	2	3	5
15	URA	4	1	0	3	3	7	3
16	Ntugasaze FC	6	1	0	5	3	13	3
17	Kataka FC	5	0	2	3	3	8	2
18	Kigezi Homeboyz FC	4	0	1	3	1	6	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	URA	Entebbe UPPC
Maroons	2-1 W	0-0 D
FC Calvary	1-1 D	2-0 W
Vipers SC	1-1 D	1-0 W
UPDF FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Entebbe UPPC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

URA

DDDDDWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	KCCA Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
15/09	NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League	1-3	1-4	7	3	L
04/09	SC Villa Uganda Premier League	0-1	0-1	11	6	L
30/08	Maroons Uganda Premier League	0-1	2-1	1	3	W
22/05	Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
19/05	KCCA Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
12/05	FC Calvary Uganda Premier League	1-1	1-1	3	1	D
08/05	Vipers SC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
28/04	Maroons Uganda Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
24/04	UPDF FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	1	D

Entebbe UPPC

WWDDWWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	4	W
16/09	Mbarara City Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
09/09	Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/09	UPDF FC Uganda Premier League	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
28/08	Vipers SC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
23/05	BUL FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/05	Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
12/05	Maroons Uganda Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	6	D
07/05	UPDF FC Uganda Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
29/04	FC Calvary Uganda Premier League	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in URA vs Entebbe UPPC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Entebbe UPPC win (36%). Probabilities: URA 30%, draw 34%, Entebbe UPPC 36%.

How many goals are expected in URA vs Entebbe UPPC?

The model expects 1.73 goals (URA 0.82 · Entebbe UPPC 0.91), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in URA vs Entebbe UPPC?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.