Football · Peru Liga 2 · 23/08, 17:45
Prediction: Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Pirata FC
Team pages: Academia Deportiva Cantolao · Pirata FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Academia Deportiva Cantolao1.18
Pirata FC1.76
1X2
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Draw
Pirata FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Pirata FC
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
3–1–2
Pirata FC
(6 last)
- Pirata FC2-1Academia Deportiva Cantolao
- Pirata FC3-1Academia Deportiva Cantolao
- Academia Deportiva Cantolao2-1Pirata FC
- Pirata FC0-2Academia Deportiva Cantolao
- Academia Deportiva Cantolao2-2Pirata FC
- Academia Deportiva Cantolao3-0Pirata FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1414 · Pirata FC 1501
| Academia Deportiva Cantolao | Draw | Pirata FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pirata FC (rating 1414 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Academia Deportiva Cantolao: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academia Deportiva Cantolao | Pirata FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 1.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 3–1–2 Pirata FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Pirata FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
| 01/09/25 Peru Liga 2 | Pirata FC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
| 27/07/25 Peru Liga 2 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Pirata FC |
| 21/09/24 Peru Liga 2 | Pirata FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
| 27/08/24 Peru Liga 2 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Pirata FC |
| 01/11/19 Peru Liga 1 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Pirata FC |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | CD Universidad San Martin | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 14 | 17 |
| 4 | Pirata FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 17 |
| 5 | Carlos Manucci | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Cesar Vallejo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Ada Jaen | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | Pirata FC |
|---|---|---|
| Union Comercio | 0-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Cesar Vallejo | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Club Ada Jaen | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| CD Universidad San Martin | 0-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | 0-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Carlos Manucci | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pirata FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/07 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | FC San Marcos Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
Pirata FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 01/06 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/04 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/04 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Pirata FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pirata FC win (50%). Probabilities: Academia Deportiva Cantolao 24%, draw 26%, Pirata FC 50%.
How many goals are expected in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Pirata FC?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1.18 · Pirata FC 1.76), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Academia Deportiva Cantolao vs Pirata FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.