Football · Peru Liga 2 · 29/08, 17:45
Prediction: CD Universidad San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo
Team pages: CD Universidad San Martin · Cesar Vallejo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
CD Universidad San Martin1.24
Cesar Vallejo1.04
1X2
CD Universidad San Martin
Draw
Cesar Vallejo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CD Universidad San Martin
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Cesar Vallejo
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Universidad San Martin
2–1–3
Cesar Vallejo
(6 last)
- Cesar Vallejo0-1CD Universidad San Martin
- CD Universidad San Martin1-1Cesar Vallejo
- Cesar Vallejo2-0CD Universidad San Martin
- CD Universidad San Martin0-1Cesar Vallejo
- CD Universidad San Martin0-1Cesar Vallejo
- Cesar Vallejo0-1CD Universidad San Martin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Universidad San Martin 1492 · Cesar Vallejo 1487
| CD Universidad San Martin | Draw | Cesar Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 29% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cesar Vallejo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Universidad San Martin | Cesar Vallejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.8 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.3 | 5.7 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Universidad San Martin 2–1–3 Cesar Vallejo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Cesar Vallejo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Universidad San Martin |
| 19/10/22 Peru Liga 1 | CD Universidad San Martin | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Cesar Vallejo |
| 19/06/22 Peru Liga 1 | Cesar Vallejo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CD Universidad San Martin |
| 24/09/21 Peru Liga 1 | CD Universidad San Martin | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cesar Vallejo |
| 29/09/20 Peru Liga 1 | CD Universidad San Martin | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cesar Vallejo |
| 04/11/19 Peru Liga 1 | Cesar Vallejo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | CD Universidad San Martin |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Pirata FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Carlos Manucci | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | CD Universidad San Martin | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 20 |
| 6 | Cesar Vallejo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Club Ada Jaen | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 9 | FC San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 42 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Universidad San Martin | Cesar Vallejo |
|---|---|---|
| Club Ada Jaen | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Carlos Manucci | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Pirata FC | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Union Comercio | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Universidad San Martin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 05/04 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
Cesar Vallejo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Universidad San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Universidad San Martin win (40%). Probabilities: CD Universidad San Martin 40%, draw 30%, Cesar Vallejo 30%.
How many goals are expected in CD Universidad San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo?
The model expects 2.28 goals (CD Universidad San Martin 1.24 · Cesar Vallejo 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Universidad San Martin vs Cesar Vallejo?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.