Football · Peru Liga 2 · 30/08, 22:15

Prediction: Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC

Team pages: Bentin Tacna Heroica · Santos FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Bentin Tacna Heroica1.78

Santos FC1.04

1X2

54% 26% 21%

Bentin Tacna Heroica Draw Santos FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Bentin Tacna Heroica 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Santos FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bentin Tacna Heroica 1–2 Santos FC (3 last)

Santos FC2-1Bentin Tacna Heroica
Bentin Tacna Heroica4-0Santos FC
Santos FC4-1Bentin Tacna Heroica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1531 · Santos FC 1496

	Bentin Tacna Heroica	Draw	Santos FC
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santos FC: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bentin Tacna Heroica	Santos FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.5	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.88

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:30 +2’	1.67	3.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentin Tacna Heroica 1–0–2 Santos FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Peru Liga 2	Santos FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Bentin Tacna Heroica
22/06/25 Peru Liga 2	Bentin Tacna Heroica	4-0 HT 2-0	Santos FC
02/05/25 Peru Liga 2	Santos FC	4-1 HT 2-0	Bentin Tacna Heroica

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bentin Tacna Heroica	14	7	4	3	18	11	25
2	Comerciantes FC	15	5	8	2	19	14	23
3	Alianza Universidad	14	6	3	5	19	16	21
4	Ayacucho FC	14	5	4	5	18	14	19
5	Union Minas	13	4	6	3	20	10	18
6	Santos FC	13	5	3	5	14	16	18
7	Sport Huancayo II	13	5	3	5	11	13	18
8	CD Estudiantil CNI	14	4	4	6	23	16	16
9	Deportivo Binacional	14	2	3	9	10	42	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bentin Tacna Heroica	Santos FC
Alianza Universidad	0-1 L	3-3 D
Sport Huancayo II	1-0 W	0-2 L
Comerciantes FC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Ayacucho FC	2-0 W	0-2 L
Deportivo Binacional	3-0 W	3-1 W
Union Minas	2-1 W	0-1 L
CD Estudiantil CNI	3-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bentin Tacna Heroica (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bentin Tacna Heroica

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
16/08	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
09/08	Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2	2-2	2-2	0	2	D
02/08	Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	8	9	W
26/07	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
19/07	Union Minas Peru Liga 2	1-1	2-1	7	9	W
30/05	CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
16/05	Santos FC Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
09/05	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
01/05	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-2	9	3	L

Santos FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	1-1	3-3	3	5	D
08/08	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
01/08	Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
26/07	Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
19/07	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
29/05	Union Minas Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
23/05	CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
04/05	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	0-0	2-1	6	9	W
25/04	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bentin Tacna Heroica win (54%). Probabilities: Bentin Tacna Heroica 54%, draw 26%, Santos FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Bentin Tacna Heroica 1.78 · Santos FC 1.04), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bentin Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.