Football · Peru Liga 2 · 29/08, 20:00
Prediction: Carlos Manucci vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Team pages: Carlos Manucci · Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Carlos Manucci2
Academia Deportiva Cantolao0.82
1X2
Carlos Manucci
Draw
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Carlos Manucci
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carlos Manucci
3–1–2
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
(6 last)
- Academia Deportiva Cantolao1-4Carlos Manucci
- Carlos Manucci1-2Academia Deportiva Cantolao
- Academia Deportiva Cantolao0-2Carlos Manucci
- Carlos Manucci0-0Academia Deportiva Cantolao
- Academia Deportiva Cantolao3-2Carlos Manucci
- Carlos Manucci1-0Academia Deportiva Cantolao
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlos Manucci 1525 · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1414
| Carlos Manucci | Draw | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 22% | 13% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Manucci (rating 1525 vs 1414).
- H2H favours Carlos Manucci: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carlos Manucci | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.1 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carlos Manucci 3–1–2 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 1-4 HT 0-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 15/09/23 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
| 22/04/23 Peru Liga 1 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 31/07/22 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
| 06/03/22 Peru Liga 1 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Carlos Manucci |
| 30/10/21 Peru Liga 1 | Carlos Manucci | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Pirata FC | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Carlos Manucci | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | CD Universidad San Martin | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 14 | 20 |
| 6 | Cesar Vallejo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Club Ada Jaen | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23 | 10 |
| 9 | FC San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 42 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carlos Manucci | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
|---|---|---|
| Union Comercio | 0-0 D | 0-4 L |
| Cesar Vallejo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Club Ada Jaen | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| CD Universidad San Martin | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Deportivo Llacuabamba | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Pirata FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Carlos Manucci (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlos Manucci
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 25/07 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 07/08 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/07 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlos Manucci vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Carlos Manucci win (65%). Probabilities: Carlos Manucci 65%, draw 21%, Academia Deportiva Cantolao 14%.
How many goals are expected in Carlos Manucci vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Carlos Manucci 2 · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 0.82), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Carlos Manucci vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.