Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 14/09, 20:45

Prediction: Sligo Rovers vs Galway United

Team pages: Sligo Rovers · Galway United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Sligo Rovers1.21

Galway United1.49

1X2

30% 27% 43%

Sligo Rovers Draw Galway United

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sligo Rovers 0-4-6 (W-D-L)

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Galway United 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDDWDL

Head-to-head

Sligo Rovers 3–3 Galway United (6 last)

Galway United3-2Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers1-4Galway United
Galway United1-0Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers6-0Galway United
Galway United0-1Sligo Rovers
Sligo Rovers2-1Galway United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sligo Rovers 1444 · Galway United 1521

	Sligo Rovers	Draw	Galway United
Our model	30%	28%	43%
Market	30%	27%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Galway United (rating 1444 vs 1521).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sligo Rovers	Galway United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.8	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.40

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.15 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:25 +9’	3.00	3.40	2.15
15:52 +6’	3.00	3.40	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sligo Rovers 3–0–3 Galway United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	3-2 HT 1-0	Sligo Rovers
16/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Sligo Rovers	1-4 HT 1-2	Galway United
27/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	1-0 HT 1-0	Sligo Rovers
24/01/26 Europe Friendlies	Sligo Rovers	6-0 HT 1-0	Galway United
22/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	0-1 HT 0-0	Sligo Rovers
23/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Sligo Rovers	2-1 HT 1-0	Galway United

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	30	16	8	6	46	29	56
2	St Patricks	30	15	8	7	47	25	53
3	Bohemians Dublin	30	15	8	7	53	36	53
4	Dundalk	30	10	11	9	47	46	41
5	Derry City	30	8	13	9	42	40	37
6	Shelbourne	29	8	12	9	37	40	36
7	Galway United	29	8	10	11	38	45	34
8	Waterford FC	30	7	12	11	40	49	33
9	Drogheda United	30	7	10	13	35	48	31
10	Sligo Rovers	30	5	8	17	23	50	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sligo Rovers	Galway United
Drogheda United	0-2 L	0-0 D
Bohemians Dublin	0-3 L	2-3 L
Waterford FC	0-0 D	0-0 D
Derry City	0-2 L	2-1 W
Dundalk	1-1 D	2-1 W
Shamrock Rovers	1-2 L	1-3 L
Shelbourne	2-2 D	1-1 D
St Patricks	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Galway United (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sligo Rovers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	0-2	7	2	L
28/08	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-3	0-3	4	3	L
21/08	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
07/08	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
31/07	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
25/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
11/07	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-3	0	4	L
03/07	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
27/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-2	3	2	D
19/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-2	7	3	L

Galway United

WLLWDDDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-3	1	5	L
28/08	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
21/08	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	0	5	W
07/08	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
02/08	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
25/07	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
11/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-2	6	4	W
03/07	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
26/06	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
19/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Galway United win (43%). Probabilities: Sligo Rovers 30%, draw 27%, Galway United 43%.

How many goals are expected in Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Sligo Rovers 1.21 · Galway United 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.