Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 22/08, 21:30
Prediction: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira
Team pages: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano · Deportivo La Guaira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.75
Deportivo La Guaira1.56
1X2
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Draw
Deportivo La Guaira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo La Guaira
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
0–2–4
Deportivo La Guaira
(6 last)
- Deportivo La Guaira1-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo La Guaira4-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1-1Deportivo La Guaira
- Deportivo La Guaira3-2Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo La Guaira2-1Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-2Deportivo La Guaira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1468 · Deportivo La Guaira 1513
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Draw | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 28% | 55% |
| Market | 18% | 25% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo La Guaira (rating 1468 vs 1513).
- H2H favours Deportivo La Guaira: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Deportivo La Guaira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.4 | 5.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0–2–4 Deportivo La Guaira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 18/07/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 08/02/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo La Guaira |
| 12/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo La Guaira | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 14/07/24 Venezuela Cup | Deportivo La Guaira | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 14/04/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Deportivo La Guaira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Caracas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 9 | Trujillanos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Monagas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | UCV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | Deportivo La Guaira |
|---|---|---|
| Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Zamora | 1-2 L | 6-1 W |
| Caracas | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Monagas | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Portuguesa | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo La Guaira (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 10/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 06/08 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Deportivo La Guaira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
4-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 06/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 16/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo La Guaira win (56%). Probabilities: Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 18%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Guaira 56%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.75 · Deportivo La Guaira 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Rayo Zuliano vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.