Football · Paraguay Women League · 23/08, 18:00

Prediction: Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)

Team pages: Sportivo Luqueno (W) · Sportivo Trinidense (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Sportivo Luqueno (W)0.63

Sportivo Trinidense (W)2.63

1X2

6% 13% 81%

Sportivo Luqueno (W) Draw Sportivo Trinidense (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Sportivo Luqueno (W) 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

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Sportivo Trinidense (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sportivo Luqueno (W) 0–6 Sportivo Trinidense (W) (6 last)

Sportivo Trinidense (W)1-0Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Sportivo Luqueno (W)2-3Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)4-0Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)4-1Sportivo Luqueno (W)
Sportivo Luqueno (W)1-2Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Sportivo Trinidense (W)2-1Sportivo Luqueno (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 1376 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 1475

	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	Draw	Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Our model	6%	15%	79%
Market	5%	12%	82%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sportivo Trinidense (W) (rating 1376 vs 1475).
H2H favours Sportivo Trinidense (W): 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 4.1	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 2	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/11/78%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

117.00

X7.50

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.25)1.98

2 (-2.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:48

	Bet365	Best now
1	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
20:40 +8’	17.00	7.50	1.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Luqueno (W) 0–0–6 Sportivo Trinidense (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Sportivo Luqueno (W)
09/05/25 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	2-3	Sportivo Trinidense (W)
15/02/25 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	4-0 HT 4-0	Sportivo Luqueno (W)
21/10/24 Paraguay Copa EFE Women	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	4-1 HT 3-1	Sportivo Luqueno (W)
01/09/24 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	1-2 HT 1-2	Sportivo Trinidense (W)
15/06/24 Paraguay Women League	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Sportivo Luqueno (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	17	15	2	0	80	8	47
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	16	14	2	0	65	4	44
3	Club Guarani (W)	17	11	3	3	35	20	36
4	Cerro Porteno (W)	17	10	3	4	60	13	33
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	17	8	1	8	46	39	25
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	18	8	1	9	30	41	25
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	15	6	2	7	19	23	20
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	17	6	2	9	21	39	20
9	2 de Mayo (W)	17	5	1	11	29	52	16
10	Rubio Nu (W)	16	2	4	10	13	46	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	17	1	4	12	9	60	7
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	16	0	3	13	11	73	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	Sportivo Trinidense (W)
Club Guarani (W)	0-3 L	1-4 L
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Sportivo Ameliano (W)	0-0 D	3-2 W
Cerro Porteno (W)	0-6 L	1-1 D
Olimpia Asuncion (W)	0-7 L	0-4 L
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	1-6 L	1-3 L
Libertad Limpeno (W)	0-9 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sportivo Trinidense (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Luqueno (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	–	0-3	1	2	L
10/08	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-2	1	3	L
03/08	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
27/07	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-2	0-6	0	4	L
22/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
19/07	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
12/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-5	5	2	L
27/06	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-3	0-7	0	1	L
31/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	1-4	1-6	2	5	L
24/05	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-6	0-9	0	2	L

Sportivo Trinidense (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-3	8	4	L
09/08	Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-2	0	5	L
02/08	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	3-0	3	7	W
29/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	0-4	0	6	L
26/07	Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-2	0	2	L
18/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	1-4	1	3	L
15/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-0	8	2	W
12/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
28/06	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	3-2	7	6	W
30/05	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportivo Trinidense (W) win (81%). Probabilities: Sportivo Luqueno (W) 6%, draw 13%, Sportivo Trinidense (W) 81%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Sportivo Luqueno (W) 0.63 · Sportivo Trinidense (W) 2.63), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Luqueno (W) vs Sportivo Trinidense (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.