Football · Paraguay Women League · 22/08, 23:00
Prediction: 2 de Mayo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)
Team pages: 2 de Mayo (W) · Club Guarani (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.2Total
2 de Mayo (W)1.1
Club Guarani (W)3.1
1X2
2 de Mayo (W)
Draw
Club Guarani (W)
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
2 de Mayo (W)
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Club Guarani (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
2 de Mayo (W)
0–5
Club Guarani (W)
(5 last)
- Club Guarani (W)4-22 de Mayo (W)
- Club Guarani (W)5-02 de Mayo (W)
- 2 de Mayo (W)0-7Club Guarani (W)
- 2 de Mayo (W)0-3Club Guarani (W)
- Club Guarani (W)6-02 de Mayo (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · 2 de Mayo (W) 1462 · Club Guarani (W) 1542
| 2 de Mayo (W) | Draw | Club Guarani (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| Market | 9% | 13% | 78% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Guarani (W) (rating 1462 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Club Guarani (W): 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| 2 de Mayo (W) | Club Guarani (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 44/22/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.6 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · 2 de Mayo (W) 0–0–5 Club Guarani (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 4-2 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 11/05/25 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
| 18/02/25 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 0-7 HT 0-2 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 17/08/24 Paraguay Women League | 2 de Mayo (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Club Guarani (W) |
| 02/06/24 Paraguay Women League | Club Guarani (W) | 6-0 HT 3-0 | 2 de Mayo (W) |
Standings · Paraguay Women League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Libertad Limpeno (W) | 17 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 80 | 8 | 47 |
| 2 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 65 | 4 | 44 |
| 3 | Club Guarani (W) | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 36 |
| 4 | Cerro Porteno (W) | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 60 | 13 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 25 |
| 6 | Nacional-Humaita (W) | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 25 |
| 7 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 39 | 20 |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo (W) | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 52 | 16 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu (W) | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 10 |
| 11 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 60 | 7 |
| 12 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 16 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 73 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | 2 de Mayo (W) | Club Guarani (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta (W) | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 5-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Cerro Porteno (W) | 0-6 L | 2-1 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Libertad Limpeno (W) | 1-11 L | 0-3 L |
| Rubio Nu (W) | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Guarani (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
2 de Mayo (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
3-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-11 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 11 | L |
Club Guarani (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League |
– | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Libertad Limpeno (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 22/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Olimpia Asuncion (W) Paraguay Women League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Guarani (W) win (77%). Probabilities: 2 de Mayo (W) 9%, draw 13%, Club Guarani (W) 77%.
How many goals are expected in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?
The model expects 4.2 goals (2 de Mayo (W) 1.1 · Club Guarani (W) 3.1), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in 2 de Mayo (W) vs Club Guarani (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.