Football · Paraguay Women League · 22/08, 21:00

Prediction: Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Team pages: Libertad Limpeno (W) · Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

Libertad Limpeno (W)1.57

Olimpia Asuncion (W)1.83

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Libertad Limpeno (W) Draw Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Libertad Limpeno (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Olimpia Asuncion (W) 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Libertad Limpeno (W) 1–4–1 Olimpia Asuncion (W) (6 last)

Olimpia Asuncion (W)1-1Libertad Limpeno (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)1-1Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)0-4Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)2-2Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Olimpia Asuncion (W)1-1Libertad Limpeno (W)
Libertad Limpeno (W)1-0Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Libertad Limpeno (W) 1629 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 1645

	Libertad Limpeno (W)	Draw	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Our model	33%	24%	43%
Market	31%	27%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 13.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Libertad Limpeno (W)	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	5.3 / 0.5	3.8 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	2.6 / 0	1.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	89/11/0%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	4.3 / 8.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.30

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 2.45 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.88▼	Pinn 2.95
X	3.60 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
2	2.00 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.28 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:48 +8’	3.00	3.60	2.00
17:07 +2’	2.88▼	3.30▼	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:47 +23’	2.90	3.03	2.23
18:49 +4’	2.95▲	2.89▼	2.28▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Libertad Limpeno (W) 1–4–1 Olimpia Asuncion (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Paraguay Women League	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Libertad Limpeno (W)
16/12/25 Other Match	Libertad Limpeno (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
10/12/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women	Libertad Limpeno (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
20/09/25 Paraguay Copa EFE Women	Libertad Limpeno (W)	2-2 HT 2-1	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
10/08/25 Paraguay Women League	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Libertad Limpeno (W)
07/04/25 Paraguay Women League	Libertad Limpeno (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Standings · Paraguay Women League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Libertad Limpeno (W)	17	15	2	0	80	8	47
2	Olimpia Asuncion (W)	16	14	2	0	65	4	44
3	Club Guarani (W)	17	11	3	3	35	20	36
4	Cerro Porteno (W)	17	10	3	4	60	13	33
5	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	17	8	1	8	46	39	25
6	Nacional-Humaita (W)	18	8	1	9	30	41	25
7	Sportivo Trinidense (W)	15	6	2	7	19	23	20
8	Deportivo Recoleta (W)	17	6	2	9	21	39	20
9	2 de Mayo (W)	17	5	1	11	29	52	16
10	Rubio Nu (W)	16	2	4	10	13	46	10
11	Sportivo Luqueno (W)	17	1	4	12	9	60	7
12	Sportivo Ameliano (W)	16	0	3	13	11	73	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Libertad Limpeno (W)	Olimpia Asuncion (W)
Rubio Nu (W)	6-2 W	2-0 W
Sportivo Trinidense (W)	2-0 W	4-0 W
Club Guarani (W)	3-0 W	4-1 W
Deportivo Recoleta (W)	4-0 W	2-0 W
Cerro Porteno (W)	1-0 W	3-2 W
Nacional-Humaita (W)	3-1 W	6-0 W
2 de Mayo (W)	11-1 W	5-0 W
Sportivo Luqueno (W)	9-0 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	8 W 0 D 0 L	8 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Libertad Limpeno (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Libertad Limpeno (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	–	6-2	5	8	W
09/08	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
01/08	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
25/07	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	4-0	8	5	W
19/07	Sportivo Ameliano (W) Paraguay Women League	7-0	11-0	4	3	W
06/07	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
27/06	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
31/05	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	11-1	10	2	W
24/05	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	6-0	9-0	9	2	W
17/05	Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	3-1	4	5	W

Olimpia Asuncion (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Cerro Porteno (W) Paraguay Women League	1-1	3-2	2	3	W
09/08	Rubio Nu (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	2-0	13	4	W
05/08	Deportivo Recoleta (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	2-0	10	0	W
02/08	Nacional-Humaita (W) Paraguay Women League	4-0	6-0	7	5	W
29/07	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	1-0	4-0	10	6	W
26/07	Sportivo Trinidense (W) Paraguay Women League	0-0	2-0	11	2	W
22/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	4-1	7	7	W
18/07	2 de Mayo (W) Paraguay Women League	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
05/07	Club Guarani (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	3-0	2	8	W
27/06	Sportivo Luqueno (W) Paraguay Women League	3-0	7-0	15	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Asuncion (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Libertad Limpeno (W) 32%, draw 26%, Olimpia Asuncion (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Libertad Limpeno (W) 1.57 · Olimpia Asuncion (W) 1.83), with a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Libertad Limpeno (W) vs Olimpia Asuncion (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.