Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 19/08, 20:30

Prediction: Siello FC vs Union Adarve

Team pages: Siello FC · Union Adarve

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Siello FC1.12
Union Adarve1.2
1X2
33% 29% 37%
Siello FC Draw Union Adarve
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Siello FC 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWWWLL
Union Adarve 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWLWWWWD
Head-to-head
Siello FC 1–1 Union Adarve (2 last)
  • Union Adarve1-0Siello FC
  • Siello FC2-1Union Adarve
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Siello FC 1516 · Union Adarve 1547
Siello FCDrawUnion Adarve
Our model33%31%37%
Market34%28%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Siello FCUnion Adarve
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.32.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.61 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/25/50%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.42 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.35.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Siello FC 101 Union Adarve

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/04/26
Spain Tercera Group 7
Union Adarve1-0
HT 1-0
Siello FC
23/11/25
Spain Tercera Group 7
Siello FC2-1
HT 1-0
Union Adarve

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSiello FCUnion Adarve
Torrejon 0-1 L 1-1 D
Racing Madrid 1-0 W 5-0 W
Las Rozas 2-1 W 2-0 W
SAD Villaverde San Andres 0-1 L 3-0 W
Atletico Madrid C 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Union Adarve (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Siello FC

DLLWWWWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Torrejon
Spain Copa Federacion
0-1 0-1 31 L
12/08 Navalcarnero
Spain Copa Federacion
0-2 0-5 45 L
10/05 RCD Carabanchel
Spain Tercera Group 7
2-0 3-0 47 W
03/05 CD Mostoles URJC
Spain Tercera Group 7
5-3 W
26/04 UD San Sebastián Reyes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 2-1 27 W
19/04 Racing Madrid
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-0 55 W
12/04 Las Rozas
Spain Tercera Group 7
2-0 2-1 45 W
02/04 Union Adarve
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 0-1 76 L
28/03 SAD Villaverde San Andres
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 0-1 66 L
22/03 Atletico Madrid C
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 D

Union Adarve

LWDWLWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Torrejon
Spain Copa Federacion
1-0 1-1 44 D
10/05 Racing Madrid
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 5-0 43 W
03/05 Las Rozas
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 2-0 04 W
26/04 CD Galapagar
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-1 3-1 45 W
19/04 SAD Villaverde San Andres
Spain Tercera Group 7
3-0 3-0 111 W
11/04 Atletico Madrid C
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-2 0-3 37 L
02/04 Siello FC
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 1-0 16 W
28/03 Pozuelo Alarcon
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 2-2 48 D
22/03 Leganes B
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-1 4-3 46 W
15/03 Trival Valderas
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-1 0-1 113 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Siello FC vs Union Adarve?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Adarve win (37%). Probabilities: Siello FC 33%, draw 29%, Union Adarve 37%.

How many goals are expected in Siello FC vs Union Adarve?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Siello FC 1.12 · Union Adarve 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Siello FC vs Union Adarve?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.