Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 19/08, 19:00

Prediction: Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Vilanova Geltru1.31
CE L'Hospitalet1.11
1X2
40% 29% 31%
Vilanova Geltru Draw CE L'Hospitalet
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vilanova Geltru 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDLWWWLW
CE L'Hospitalet 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWLDLWDL
Head-to-head
Vilanova Geltru 2–0 CE L'Hospitalet (2 last)
  • Vilanova Geltru2-1CE L'Hospitalet
  • CE L'Hospitalet0-2Vilanova Geltru
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vilanova Geltru 1543 · CE L'Hospitalet 1494
Vilanova GeltruDrawCE L'Hospitalet
Our model40%30%30%
Market41%28%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vilanova Geltru (rating 1543 vs 1494).
  • H2H favours Vilanova Geltru: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vilanova GeltruCE L'Hospitalet
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.92 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)29/43/29%44/33/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 41.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.46 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vilanova Geltru 200 CE L'Hospitalet

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
Spain Tercera Group 5
Vilanova Geltru2-1CE L'Hospitalet
04/10/25
Spain Tercera Group 5
CE L'Hospitalet0-2
HT 0-2
Vilanova Geltru

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVilanova GeltruCE L'Hospitalet
UE Cornella 1-0 W 0-0 D
Badalona 0-3 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vilanova Geltru

LWDDLWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 UE Cornella
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-0 1-0 48 W
17/05 UE Cornella
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 0-1 41 L
10/05 Lleida
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-1 2-1 97 W
03/05 CF Can Vidalet
Spain Tercera Group 5
1-0 1-0 53 W
26/04 FC L'Escala
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-1 W
18/04 UE Vilassar de Mar
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-1 0-1 15 L
12/04 CFJ Mollerussa
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-1 2-2 04 D
02/04 CP San Cristobal
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 0-0 54 D
29/03 UE Cornella
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-0 W
22/03 Badalona
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-3 L

CE L'Hospitalet

WWDWLDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Barcelona B
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-2 31 L
08/08 Badalona
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 411 D
24/05 Badalona
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
1-1 3-1 89 W
17/05 Badalona
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-1 0-2 36 L
10/05 UE Cornella
Spain Tercera Group 5
0-0 0-0 45 D
03/05 Badalona
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-3 L
25/04 CF Montanesa
Spain Tercera Group 5
1-0 1-0 47 W
19/04 Cerdanyola del Valles FC
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-1 4-4 013 D
12/04 Peralada
Spain Tercera Group 5
2-0 3-0 22 W
03/04 UE Vic
Spain Tercera Group 5
1-0 4-0 55 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vilanova Geltru win (40%). Probabilities: Vilanova Geltru 40%, draw 29%, CE L'Hospitalet 31%.

How many goals are expected in Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet?

The model expects 2.42 goals (Vilanova Geltru 1.31 · CE L'Hospitalet 1.11), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vilanova Geltru vs CE L'Hospitalet?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.