Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 19/08, 20:00

Prediction: Navalcarnero vs Torrejon

Team pages: Navalcarnero · Torrejon

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Navalcarnero1.65
Torrejon0.96
1X2
53% 25% 22%
Navalcarnero Draw Torrejon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Navalcarnero 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLLLWDWWDW
Torrejon 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDWDWWLLDW
Head-to-head
Navalcarnero 2–0 Torrejon (2 last)
  • Torrejon0-1Navalcarnero
  • Torrejon0-1Navalcarnero
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Navalcarnero 1524 · Torrejon 1530
NavalcarneroDrawTorrejon
Our model52%27%21%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Navalcarnero: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NavalcarneroTorrejon
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 11.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.40.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 32 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.34.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Navalcarnero 200 Torrejon

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/08/24
Spain Copa Federacion
Torrejon0-1
HT 0-1
Navalcarnero
22/12/19
Spain Tercera Group 7
Torrejon0-1
HT 0-0
Navalcarnero

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Navalcarnero

LLLLWDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/08 Siello FC
Spain Copa Federacion
2-0 5-0 55 W
08/08 Alcorcon
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 11 D
05/08 Toledo
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-1 50 W
03/05 Fuenlabrada
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
1-1 3-1 52 W
26/04 CD Colonia Moscardo
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-0 15 D
19/04 Conquense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
1-0 2-0 47 W
12/04 CD Coria
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
1-0 1-2 28 L
05/04 Rayo Majadahonda
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
1-1 2-3 45 L
29/03 CD Quintanar del Rey
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-1 05 L
22/03 RSD Alcala
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
0-0 0-1 39 L

Torrejon

WDWDWWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Siello FC
Spain Copa Federacion
1-0 1-0 31 W
12/08 Union Adarve
Spain Copa Federacion
0-1 1-1 84 D
24/05 Las Rozas
Spain Tercera - Play-Offs
0-1 0-3 114 L
17/05 Las Rozas
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 0-1 46 L
10/05 AD Parla
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-0 56 W
03/05 Alcorcon B
Spain Tercera Group 7
0-0 1-0 24 W
26/04 Mexico FC
Spain Tercera Group 7
3-1 3-3 36 D
19/04 CDF Tres Cantos
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-1 3-2 14 W
12/04 RCD Carabanchel
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-1 1-1 65 D
05/04 CD Mostoles URJC
Spain Tercera Group 7
1-0 3-2 48 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Navalcarnero vs Torrejon?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Navalcarnero win (53%). Probabilities: Navalcarnero 53%, draw 25%, Torrejon 22%.

How many goals are expected in Navalcarnero vs Torrejon?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Navalcarnero 1.65 · Torrejon 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Navalcarnero vs Torrejon?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.