Football · Spain Copa Federacion · 19/08, 18:15

Prediction: Llanes vs UC Ceares

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Llanes1.43
UC Ceares1.3
1X2
39% 28% 33%
Llanes Draw UC Ceares
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Llanes 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
WLDLLLWLLL
UC Ceares 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WLLLLLWLWW
Head-to-head
Llanes 2–1–3 UC Ceares (6 last)
  • Llanes0-1UC Ceares
  • UC Ceares1-2Llanes
  • UC Ceares1-0Llanes
  • Llanes1-1UC Ceares
  • UC Ceares1-2Llanes
  • Llanes0-3UC Ceares
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Llanes 1442 · UC Ceares 1483
LlanesDrawUC Ceares
Our model39%28%33%
Market39%28%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UC Ceares (rating 1442 vs 1483).
  • H2H favours UC Ceares: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LlanesUC Ceares
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.11.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.20.5 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/20/80%0/33/67%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 32 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.53.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Llanes 213 UC Ceares

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
01/03/26
Spain Tercera Group 2
Llanes0-1UC Ceares
19/10/25
Spain Tercera Group 2
UC Ceares1-2
HT 0-0
Llanes
03/03/24
Spain Tercera Group 2
UC Ceares1-0Llanes
15/10/23
Spain Tercera Group 2
Llanes1-1UC Ceares
12/02/23
Spain Tercera Group 2
UC Ceares1-2
HT 0-0
Llanes
09/10/22
Spain Tercera Group 2
Llanes0-3UC Ceares

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLlanesUC Ceares
El San Martin 0-1 L 0-1 L
Covadonga 1-4 L 1-6 L
Aviles Stadium CF 1-0 W 0-2 L
UD Llanera 0-1 L 0-2 L
Real Titanico Laviana 0-2 L 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 4 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Llanes (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Llanes

WLDLLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Lealtad
Spain Copa Federacion
0-1 0-2 33 L
10/05 El San Martin
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 0-1 53 L
03/05 Covadonga
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-4 L
26/04 Aviles Stadium CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-0 W
19/04 UD Llanera
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 L
12/04 Real Titanico Laviana
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 0-2 26 L
02/04 Tuilla
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 2-3 L
29/03 Sporting Gijon B
Spain Tercera Group 2
3-3 D
22/03 L'Entregu CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-2 3-4 25 L
15/03 CD Colunga
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-1 W

UC Ceares

WLLLLLWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/05 Siero
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-0 W
03/05 SD Navarro CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
3-0 W
26/04 Gijon Industrial
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-2 L
18/04 Praviano
Spain Tercera Group 2
3-2 W
12/04 Lenense
Spain Tercera Group 2
2-2 2-4 05 L
03/04 El San Martin
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 0-1 64 L
28/03 Covadonga
Spain Tercera Group 2
1-4 1-6 61 L
22/03 Aviles Stadium CF
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 0-2 84 L
15/03 UD Llanera
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-1 0-2 14 L
07/03 Real Titanico Laviana
Spain Tercera Group 2
0-0 2-1 53 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Llanes vs UC Ceares?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Llanes win (39%). Probabilities: Llanes 39%, draw 28%, UC Ceares 33%.

How many goals are expected in Llanes vs UC Ceares?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Llanes 1.43 · UC Ceares 1.3), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Llanes vs UC Ceares?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.