Prediction: Llanes vs UC Ceares
- Llanes0-1UC Ceares
- UC Ceares1-2Llanes
- UC Ceares1-0Llanes
- Llanes1-1UC Ceares
- UC Ceares1-2Llanes
- Llanes0-3UC Ceares
| Llanes | Draw | UC Ceares | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UC Ceares (rating 1442 vs 1483).
- H2H favours UC Ceares: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Llanes | UC Ceares | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 0/33/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.5 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Llanes 2–1–3 UC Ceares
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Llanes | 0-1 | UC Ceares |
| 19/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 2 | UC Ceares | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Llanes |
| 03/03/24 Spain Tercera Group 2 | UC Ceares | 1-0 | Llanes |
| 15/10/23 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Llanes | 1-1 | UC Ceares |
| 12/02/23 Spain Tercera Group 2 | UC Ceares | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Llanes |
| 09/10/22 Spain Tercera Group 2 | Llanes | 0-3 | UC Ceares |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Llanes | UC Ceares |
|---|---|---|
| El San Martin | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Covadonga | 1-4 L | 1-6 L |
| Aviles Stadium CF | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| UD Llanera | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Real Titanico Laviana | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Llanes (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Llanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Lealtad Spain Copa Federacion |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Real Titanico Laviana Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 02/04 | Tuilla Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Sporting Gijon B Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 22/03 | L'Entregu CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/03 | CD Colunga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
UC Ceares
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Siero Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | SD Navarro CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Gijon Industrial Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Praviano Spain Tercera Group 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Lenense Spain Tercera Group 2 |
2-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | El San Martin Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Covadonga Spain Tercera Group 2 |
1-4 | 1-6 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 22/03 | Aviles Stadium CF Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 15/03 | UD Llanera Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | Real Titanico Laviana Spain Tercera Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Llanes vs UC Ceares?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Llanes win (39%). Probabilities: Llanes 39%, draw 28%, UC Ceares 33%.
How many goals are expected in Llanes vs UC Ceares?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Llanes 1.43 · UC Ceares 1.3), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Llanes vs UC Ceares?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

