Prediction: Paysandu FC vs CA River Plate
Team pages: Paysandu FC · CA River Plate
- CA River Plate1-0Paysandu FC
- CA River Plate2-1Paysandu FC
| Paysandu FC | Draw | CA River Plate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA River Plate (rating 1489 vs 1538).
- H2H favours CA River Plate: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paysandu FC | CA River Plate | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 56/44/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 0–0–2 CA River Plate
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Uruguay Segunda | CA River Plate | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Paysandu FC |
| 26/04/26 Uruguay Segunda | CA River Plate | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Paysandu FC |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paysandu FC | CA River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan DPA | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Club Oriental | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Colon FC | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Tacuarembo | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Plaza Colonia | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| La Luz | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA River Plate (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paysandu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 14 | L |
| 14/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 06/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
CA River Plate
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
5-3 | 6-4 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs CA River Plate?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CA River Plate win (43%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 29%, draw 28%, CA River Plate 43%.
How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs CA River Plate?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Paysandu FC 1.23 · CA River Plate 1.53), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs CA River Plate?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.