Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 23/08, 00:00
Prediction: Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira
Team pages: Metropolitanos FC · Deportivo Tachira
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Metropolitanos FC0.92
Deportivo Tachira1.27
1X2
Metropolitanos FC
Draw
Deportivo Tachira
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Metropolitanos FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Tachira
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metropolitanos FC
1–2–3
Deportivo Tachira
(6 last)
- Metropolitanos FC0-1Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira1-1Metropolitanos FC
- Deportivo Tachira0-1Metropolitanos FC
- Deportivo Tachira2-0Metropolitanos FC
- Metropolitanos FC1-1Deportivo Tachira
- Metropolitanos FC2-3Deportivo Tachira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Metropolitanos FC 1529 · Deportivo Tachira 1593
| Metropolitanos FC | Draw | Deportivo Tachira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 31% | 43% |
| Market | 26% | 30% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1529 vs 1593).
- H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metropolitanos FC | Deportivo Tachira | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.2 | 2.9 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metropolitanos FC 1–2–3 Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 13/05/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 01/03/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 09/11/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Metropolitanos FC |
| 18/10/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 24/08/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Metropolitanos FC | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Metropolitanos FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | Estudiantes Merida | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Caracas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 9 | Trujillanos | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Monagas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | UCV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Metropolitanos FC | Deportivo Tachira |
|---|---|---|
| Carabobo | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Estudiantes Merida | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Tachira (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metropolitanos FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 10/08 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/08 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-5 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/05 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | D |
Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Tachira win (43%). Probabilities: Metropolitanos FC 26%, draw 30%, Deportivo Tachira 43%.
How many goals are expected in Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Metropolitanos FC 0.92 · Deportivo Tachira 1.27), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Metropolitanos FC vs Deportivo Tachira?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.