Prediction: Club Atletico Progreso vs Danubio
Team pages: Club Atletico Progreso · Danubio
- Danubio1-2Club Atletico Progreso
- Danubio2-2Club Atletico Progreso
- Club Atletico Progreso1-0Danubio
- Club Atletico Progreso0-1Danubio
- Danubio1-1Club Atletico Progreso
- Club Atletico Progreso0-0Danubio
| Club Atletico Progreso | Draw | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 34% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 31% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Club Atletico Progreso: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atletico Progreso | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.1 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atletico Progreso 2–3–1 Danubio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Danubio | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Club Atletico Progreso |
| 28/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Club Atletico Progreso |
| 24/08/25 Uruguay Clausura | Club Atletico Progreso | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 31/05/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Club Atletico Progreso | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 23/02/25 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club Atletico Progreso |
| 12/10/24 Uruguay Clausura | Club Atletico Progreso | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Atletico Progreso | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Torque | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Plaza Colonia | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Cerro | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Danubio (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Atletico Progreso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Central Espanol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/11 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/10 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 05/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/09 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 21/09 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 08/11 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/11 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 26/10 | CA River Plate Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 18/10 | Boston River Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 12/10 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/10 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Atletico Progreso vs Danubio?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Danubio win (34%). Probabilities: Club Atletico Progreso 33%, draw 32%, Danubio 34%.
How many goals are expected in Club Atletico Progreso vs Danubio?
The model expects 1.94 goals (Club Atletico Progreso 0.96 · Danubio 0.98), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Atletico Progreso vs Danubio?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.