Football · Uruguay Clausura · 29/08, 22:00

Prediction: Boston River vs Cerro

Team pages: Boston River · Cerro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Boston River1.12

Cerro0.95

1X2

38% 33% 29%

Boston River Draw Cerro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Boston River 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

LDDDWDDWDW

Cerro 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDWWL

Head-to-head

Boston River 2–4–0 Cerro (6 last)

Boston River4-1Cerro
Cerro1-1Boston River
Cerro0-0Boston River
Boston River0-0Cerro
Cerro0-0Boston River
Boston River2-0Cerro

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Boston River: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boston River	Cerro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.4 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.93▲	Pinn 1.93
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.25
2	4.31 → 4.21▼	Pinn 4.21

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:51 +4’	1.90	3.25	4.31
11:54 +3’	1.93▲	3.25	4.21▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boston River 2–4–0 Cerro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio	Boston River	4-1 HT 2-1	Cerro
28/02/26 Uruguay Apertura	Cerro	1-1 HT 1-1	Boston River
09/11/25 Uruguay Clausura	Cerro	0-0 HT 0-0	Boston River
20/05/25 Uruguay Apertura	Boston River	0-0 HT 0-0	Cerro
18/11/24 Uruguay Clausura	Cerro	0-0 HT 0-0	Boston River
06/07/24 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio	Boston River	2-0 HT 1-0	Cerro

Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Penarol	7	5	1	1	12	3	16
2	Cerro Largo	7	3	2	2	7	5	11
3	Racing Club de Montevideo	7	2	4	1	4	3	10
4	Liverpool Montevideo	7	2	3	2	5	5	9
5	Central Espanol	7	2	3	2	4	4	9
6	Cerro	7	3	0	4	6	10	9
7	Defensor Sporting	7	1	3	3	6	9	6
8	Boston River	7	1	2	4	5	10	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boston River	Cerro
Albion FC	3-2 W	2-1 W
Danubio	0-0 D	1-0 W
Nacional De Football	2-1 W	0-0 D
Montevideo Wanderers	2-2 D	1-0 W
Liverpool Montevideo	1-2 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boston River

LDDDWDDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Albion FC Uruguay Clausura	2-1	3-2	5	7	W
15/08	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
09/08	Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura	0-0	2-1	2	4	W
09/11	Cerro Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
01/11	Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura	1-0	2-2	3	5	D
27/10	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Clausura	4-0	4-0	3	4	W
18/10	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/10	Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
04/10	Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
27/09	Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	1-2	1-2	8	5	L

Cerro

WLWWWDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-4	1	5	L
15/08	Albion FC Uruguay Clausura	1-1	2-1	1	0	W
09/08	Danubio Uruguay Clausura	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
09/11	Boston River Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
01/11	Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
25/10	Penarol Uruguay Clausura	1-0	2-0	4	9	W
18/10	Torque Uruguay Clausura	2-0	2-1	2	8	W
12/10	Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura	0-0	1-0	2	3	W
05/10	Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura	0-2	0-2	2	8	L
27/09	Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura	1-0	1-0	4	12	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boston River vs Cerro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boston River win (38%). Probabilities: Boston River 38%, draw 33%, Cerro 29%.

How many goals are expected in Boston River vs Cerro?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Boston River 1.12 · Cerro 0.95), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Boston River vs Cerro?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.