Football · Uruguay Clausura · 30/08, 01:00
Prediction: Defensor Sporting vs Torque
Team pages: Defensor Sporting · Torque
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Defensor Sporting0.79
Torque1.49
1X2
Defensor Sporting
Draw
Torque
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Defensor Sporting
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Torque
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensor Sporting
2–1–3
Torque
(6 last)
- Torque1-0Defensor Sporting
- Torque1-0Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting0-1Torque
- Torque0-1Defensor Sporting
- Torque2-2Defensor Sporting
- Defensor Sporting2-0Torque
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torque (rating 1427 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Torque: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensor Sporting | Torque | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 3.6 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.2 | 6.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensor Sporting 2–1–3 Torque
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 Copa Sudamericana | Torque | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 27/02/26 Uruguay Apertura | Torque | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 25/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Defensor Sporting | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Torque |
| 27/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Torque | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 23/05/24 Uruguay Cup | Torque | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Defensor Sporting |
| 13/10/23 Uruguay Clausura | Defensor Sporting | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Torque |
Standings · Uruguay Clausura · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensor Sporting | Torque |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Penarol | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 3-2 W | 5-0 W |
| Cerro | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Torque (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensor Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 09/08 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 09/11 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Clausura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/11 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | Torque Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 19/10 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/09 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Torque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 09/11 | Penarol Uruguay Clausura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/11 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Clausura |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Cerro Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 12/10 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 04/10 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 3-0 | 12 | 8 | W |
| 28/09 | Danubio Uruguay Clausura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 14/09 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Clausura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensor Sporting vs Torque?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Torque win (53%). Probabilities: Defensor Sporting 19%, draw 29%, Torque 53%.
How many goals are expected in Defensor Sporting vs Torque?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Defensor Sporting 0.79 · Torque 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensor Sporting vs Torque?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.