Prediction: Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo
Team pages: Cerrito · Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo2-2Cerrito
- Cerrito2-1Uruguay Montevideo
- Cerrito2-1Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo0-0Cerrito
- Cerrito1-3Uruguay Montevideo
- Uruguay Montevideo3-1Cerrito
| Cerrito | Draw | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 28% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerrito (rating 1509 vs 1466).
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cerrito | Uruguay Montevideo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.7 | 3.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.2 | 5.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cerrito 2–2–2 Uruguay Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Cerrito |
| 06/04/26 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 05/10/25 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 12/07/25 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerrito |
| 06/04/25 Uruguay Segunda | Cerrito | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Uruguay Montevideo |
| 04/12/24 Uruguay Segunda | Uruguay Montevideo | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Cerrito |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 11 |
| 2 | Huracan DPA | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Uruguay Montevideo | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | La Luz | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Atenas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Tacuarembo | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cerrito | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Club Oriental | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Colon FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Rentistas | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Tacuarembo | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| CA River Plate | 4-6 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Atenas | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerrito (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cerrito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 18/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/07 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | La Luz Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 11 | L |
| 14/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
3-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Uruguay Montevideo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/07 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 3-2 | 10 | 11 | W |
| 21/06 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cerrito win (48%). Probabilities: Cerrito 48%, draw 28%, Uruguay Montevideo 24%.
How many goals are expected in Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Cerrito 1.48 · Uruguay Montevideo 0.98), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.