Football · Uruguay Segunda · 23/08, 16:00

Prediction: La Luz vs Club Oriental

Team pages: La Luz · Club Oriental

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
La Luz1.06
Club Oriental1
1X2
36% 31% 33%
La Luz Draw Club Oriental
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
La Luz 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLWWLDL
Club Oriental 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DWDDLDWLLD
Head-to-head
La Luz 0–4–2 Club Oriental (6 last)
  • Club Oriental0-0La Luz
  • La Luz1-1Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental2-2La Luz
  • La Luz1-2Club Oriental
  • La Luz1-1Club Oriental
  • Club Oriental1-0La Luz
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · La Luz 1476 · Club Oriental 1485
La LuzDrawClub Oriental
Our model35%33%32%
Market37%30%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Club Oriental: 2-4-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

La LuzClub Oriental
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.42.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6 / 0.74.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · La Luz 042 Club Oriental

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/05/26
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental0-0
HT 0-0
La Luz
18/10/25
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz1-1
HT 0-0
Club Oriental
27/07/25
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental2-2
HT 1-1
La Luz
05/04/25
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz1-2
HT 0-0
Club Oriental
21/09/24
Uruguay Segunda
La Luz1-1
HT 1-1
Club Oriental
05/06/24
Uruguay Segunda
Club Oriental1-0
HT 0-0
La Luz

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Club Oriental 6411 8513
2 Plaza Colonia 6330 9212
3 Colon FC 6231 859
4 Rentistas 6231 659
5 Miramar Misiones 6123 375
6 Paysandu FC 6114 474
7 CA River Plate 6114 6134

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLa LuzClub Oriental
Colon FC 1-2 L 1-1 D
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 0-0 D 2-2 D
Rentistas 2-5 L 3-0 W
Miramar Misiones 1-0 W 2-2 D
CA River Plate 0-0 D 1-2 L
Cerrito 2-0 W 1-1 D
CA Atenas 0-4 L 0-1 L
Paysandu FC 1-2 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 4 L 1 W 4 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

La Luz

LLWDLWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-2 102 L
08/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 2-5 912 L
27/07 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 59 W
13/07 Tacuarembo
Uruguay Segunda
2-0 2-0 36 W
04/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 910 L
28/06 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 23 D
21/06 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-0 111 W
14/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-4 72 L
06/06 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 35 L

Club Oriental

DWDDLDWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-1 41 D
09/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 05 L
04/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 1-2 109 L
19/07 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 67 W
12/07 Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 14 D
05/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 75 L
28/06 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 54 D
20/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 2-2 53 D
14/06 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 3-0 44 W
08/06 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-1 2-2 28 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in La Luz vs Club Oriental?

According to our model, the most likely result is a La Luz win (36%). Probabilities: La Luz 36%, draw 31%, Club Oriental 33%.

How many goals are expected in La Luz vs Club Oriental?

The model expects 2.06 goals (La Luz 1.06 · Club Oriental 1), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in La Luz vs Club Oriental?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.