Prediction: Goiatuba vs Sao Jose PA
Team pages: Goiatuba · Sao Jose PA
- Sao Jose PA0-0Goiatuba
- Sao Jose PA1-2Goiatuba
- Goiatuba1-1Sao Jose PA
| Goiatuba | Draw | Sao Jose PA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 37% | 21% |
| Market | 45% | 31% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goiatuba (rating 1547 vs 1505).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Goiatuba | Sao Jose PA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.6 | 2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Goiatuba 1–2–0 Sao Jose PA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/26 Brazil Serie D | Sao Jose PA | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Goiatuba |
| 09/08/25 Brazil Serie D | Sao Jose PA | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Goiatuba |
| 02/08/25 Brazil Serie D | Goiatuba | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Sao Jose PA |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A16
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau EC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Joseense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Jose PA | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | Azuriz FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goiatuba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Sao Jose PA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | ASA Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | ASA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Ferroviario Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Ferroviario Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Manauara EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Manauara EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Brasiliense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Brasiliense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Operario VG Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
Sao Jose PA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Goiatuba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | SE Gama Brazil Serie D |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | SE Gama Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 27/06 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goiatuba vs Sao Jose PA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Goiatuba win (43%). Probabilities: Goiatuba 43%, draw 34%, Sao Jose PA 23%.
How many goals are expected in Goiatuba vs Sao Jose PA?
The model expects 1.55 goals (Goiatuba 0.96 · Sao Jose PA 0.6), with a 52% chance of under 1.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Goiatuba vs Sao Jose PA?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.