Football · Brazil Serie D · 27/08, 00:00

Prediction: Sao Jose PA vs Goiatuba

Team pages: Sao Jose PA · Goiatuba

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.84Total
Sao Jose PA1.11
Goiatuba0.73
1X2
45% 31% 24%
Sao Jose PA Draw Goiatuba
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 56% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Sao Jose PA 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WWDDWDWLDL
Goiatuba 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDWLWWWDD
Head-to-head
Sao Jose PA 0–1–1 Goiatuba (2 last)
  • Sao Jose PA1-2Goiatuba
  • Goiatuba1-1Sao Jose PA
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sao Jose PA 1513 · Goiatuba 1547
Sao Jose PADrawGoiatuba
Our model43%34%23%
Market46%29%25%
Estimated total (ours) 1.84 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sao Jose PAGoiatuba
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.91.1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.5 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.82.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.14.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sao Jose PA 011 Goiatuba

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/25
Brazil Serie D
Sao Jose PA1-2
HT 1-1
Goiatuba
02/08/25
Brazil Serie D
Goiatuba1-1
HT 0-1
Sao Jose PA

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A16

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blumenau EC 10613 14819
2 Marcilio Dias 10442 9516
3 Sao Joseense 10343 3413
4 Sao Jose PA 10343 6813
5 Brasil de Pelotas 10244 91210
6 Azuriz FC 10235 7119

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sao Jose PA

WWDDWDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 SE Gama
Brazil Serie D
0-3 0-4 22 L
08/08 SE Gama
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 55 D
26/07 Treze
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 16 L
18/07 Treze
Brazil Serie D
1-1 2-1 27 W
12/07 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 37 D
04/07 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 49 W
27/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 54 D
21/06 Santa Catarina
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 64 D
07/06 Blumenau EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 26 W
01/06 Sao Joseense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 85 W

Goiatuba

DWDWLWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 ASA
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 24 D
08/08 ASA
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 73 D
26/07 Ferroviario
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-1 42 W
18/07 Ferroviario
Brazil Serie D
1-0 3-0 44 W
12/07 Manauara EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-1 76 W
04/07 Manauara EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 56 L
27/06 Brasiliense
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 65 W
21/06 Brasiliense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 66 D
07/06 Operario VG
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 116 W
30/05 Ceilandia
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 28 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sao Jose PA vs Goiatuba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sao Jose PA win (45%). Probabilities: Sao Jose PA 45%, draw 31%, Goiatuba 24%.

How many goals are expected in Sao Jose PA vs Goiatuba?

The model expects 1.84 goals (Sao Jose PA 1.11 · Goiatuba 0.73), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sao Jose PA vs Goiatuba?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.