Football · Brazil Serie D · 06/09, 22:00
Prediction: ASA vs Uberlandia
Team pages: ASA · Uberlandia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
ASA1.23
Uberlandia0.78
1X2
ASA
Draw
Uberlandia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
ASA
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Uberlandia
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASA 1573 · Uberlandia 1561
| ASA | Draw | Uberlandia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASA | Uberlandia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario FC MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | SE Gama Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 23/08 | SE Gama Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Goiatuba Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Goiatuba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 13 | D |
Uberlandia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | ABC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | ABC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Serra Branca EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASA vs Uberlandia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASA win (47%). Probabilities: ASA 47%, draw 30%, Uberlandia 23%.
How many goals are expected in ASA vs Uberlandia?
The model expects 2.01 goals (ASA 1.23 · Uberlandia 0.78), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in ASA vs Uberlandia?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.