Football · Brazil Serie D · 04/09, 01:00

Prediction: CSA vs Nacional AM

Team pages: CSA · Nacional AM

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
CSA1.69
Nacional AM0.68
1X2
60% 27% 13%
CSA Draw Nacional AM
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CSA 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLWDWLLL
Nacional AM 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWLDDLLW
Head-to-head
CSA 0–1 Nacional AM (1 last)
  • Nacional AM3-1CSA
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSA 1501 · Nacional AM 1508
CSADrawNacional AM
Our model61%26%14%
Market60%28%13%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CSANacional AM
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 11.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 6.42.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.15.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · CSA 001 Nacional AM

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
28/08/26
Brazil Serie D
Nacional AM3-1
HT 3-1
CSA

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A10

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CSA 10631 25821
2 Juazeirense 10523 12917
3 ASA 10442 11716
4 Jacuipense 10343 121413
5 CSE 10235 10179
6 Atletico Alagoinhas 10127 5205

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CSA

WDWLWDWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 Nacional AM
Brazil Serie D
1-3 1-3 44 L
15/08 Uberlandia
Brazil Serie D
0-2 0-2 105 L
08/08 Uberlandia
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 76 L
26/07 Sao Luiz
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-1 77 W
19/07 Sao Luiz
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 44 D
14/07 Betim FC
Brazil Serie D
2-0 4-0 710 W
04/07 Betim FC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 63 L
27/06 Lagarto
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 86 W
21/06 Lagarto
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 53 D
14/06 Atletico Alagoinhas
Brazil Serie D
2-0 7-1 W

Nacional AM

WWDWLDDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/08 CSA
Brazil Serie D
3-1 3-1 34 W
16/08 ABC
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 45 L
08/08 ABC
Brazil Serie D
0-2 1-2 105 L
25/07 Iguatu
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 83 D
18/07 Iguatu
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 24 D
12/07 Capital CF
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 26 L
04/07 Capital CF
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 45 W
28/06 Araguaina
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 78 D
21/06 Araguaina
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 39 W
14/06 Monte Roraima
Brazil Serie D
3-0 3-1 45 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSA vs Nacional AM?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSA win (60%). Probabilities: CSA 60%, draw 27%, Nacional AM 13%.

How many goals are expected in CSA vs Nacional AM?

The model expects 2.36 goals (CSA 1.69 · Nacional AM 0.68), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CSA vs Nacional AM?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.