Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 31/08, 21:00

Prediction: Paraguari AC vs Resistencia FC

Team pages: Paraguari AC · Resistencia FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.18Total

Paraguari AC1.01

Resistencia FC1.17

1X2

31% 30% 39%

Paraguari AC Draw Resistencia FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Paraguari AC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDLDWLWWDL

Resistencia FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWDWD

Head-to-head

Paraguari AC 0–1 Resistencia FC (1 last)

Resistencia FC2-0Paraguari AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paraguari AC 1474 · Resistencia FC 1522

	Paraguari AC	Draw	Resistencia FC
Our model	30%	32%	38%
Market	32%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Resistencia FC (rating 1474 vs 1522).
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paraguari AC	Resistencia FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/44/44%	33/67/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.95

Under 2.251.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:33 +4’	2.80	3.10	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Paraguari AC 0–0–1 Resistencia FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Paraguari AC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	20	13	4	3	31	18	43
2	General Caballero JLM	20	12	4	4	41	24	40
3	Deportivo Santaní	20	12	3	5	32	18	39
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	20	10	5	5	32	22	35
5	Sol de America	20	6	12	2	25	17	30
6	Resistencia FC	20	7	8	5	22	22	29
7	Independiente FBC	20	6	9	5	28	26	27
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	20	7	5	8	27	29	26
9	Carapegua	20	7	4	9	23	34	25
10	Guairena FC	20	6	6	8	19	23	24
11	Deportivo Capiata	20	5	9	6	24	26	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	20	6	5	9	22	30	23
13	Paraguari AC	20	5	5	10	21	27	20
14	Tacuary	20	3	9	8	23	32	18
15	Encarnacion FC	20	4	3	13	18	28	15
16	3 de Noviembre	20	2	7	11	18	30	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paraguari AC	Resistencia FC
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	2-3 L	2-3 L
Sol de America	1-1 D	0-0 D
Encarnacion FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Capiata	2-1 W	1-0 W
Deportivo Santaní	0-2 L	0-3 L
Independiente FBC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Tacuary	0-1 L	3-1 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paraguari AC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	7	7	L
15/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
08/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
04/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
25/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
18/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-2	6	7	W
10/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-2	6	4	D
03/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	–	0-1	–	–	L
28/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
04/06	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	4	8	D

Resistencia FC

LWLDLWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
07/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
01/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
28/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
18/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
10/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
05/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	–	2-3	–	–	L
30/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
04/06	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paraguari AC vs Resistencia FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Resistencia FC win (39%). Probabilities: Paraguari AC 31%, draw 30%, Resistencia FC 39%.

How many goals are expected in Paraguari AC vs Resistencia FC?

The model expects 2.18 goals (Paraguari AC 1.01 · Resistencia FC 1.17), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paraguari AC vs Resistencia FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.