Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 31/08, 23:30

Prediction: Encarnacion FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Team pages: Encarnacion FC · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Encarnacion FC1.02

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.39

1X2

27% 28% 45%

Encarnacion FC Draw Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Encarnacion FC 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Encarnacion FC 0–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (1 last)

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1-0Encarnacion FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Encarnacion FC 1439 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1511

	Encarnacion FC	Draw	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Our model	26%	30%	44%
Market	28%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (rating 1439 vs 1511).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Encarnacion FC	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.40

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:48 +4’	3.20	3.40	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Encarnacion FC 0–0–1 Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-0 HT 0-0	Encarnacion FC

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	20	13	4	3	31	18	43
2	General Caballero JLM	20	12	4	4	41	24	40
3	Deportivo Santaní	20	12	3	5	32	18	39
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	20	10	5	5	32	22	35
5	Sol de America	20	6	12	2	25	17	30
6	Resistencia FC	20	7	8	5	22	22	29
7	Independiente FBC	20	6	9	5	28	26	27
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	20	7	5	8	27	29	26
9	Carapegua	20	7	4	9	23	34	25
10	Guairena FC	20	6	6	8	19	23	24
11	Deportivo Capiata	20	5	9	6	24	26	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	20	6	5	9	22	30	23
13	Paraguari AC	20	5	5	10	21	27	20
14	Tacuary	20	3	9	8	23	32	18
15	Encarnacion FC	20	4	3	13	18	28	15
16	3 de Noviembre	20	2	7	11	18	30	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Encarnacion FC	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Deportivo Santaní	0-1 L	2-3 L
Fernando de la Mora	0-0 D	1-2 L
3 de Noviembre	2-1 W	2-1 W
General Caballero JLM	0-1 L	0-2 L
Guairena FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Resistencia FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Sol de America	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Encarnacion FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	3-1	6	3	W
14/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
08/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
02/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
26/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
19/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	7	4	W
11/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
06/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
30/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
08/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	5	7	L

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-3	6	3	L
15/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
09/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
31/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
27/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
07/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
30/06	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
06/06	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	8	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Encarnacion FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (45%). Probabilities: Encarnacion FC 27%, draw 28%, Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 45%.

How many goals are expected in Encarnacion FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Encarnacion FC 1.02 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Encarnacion FC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.