Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 21/08, 23:30

Prediction: Sol de America vs Resistencia FC

Team pages: Sol de America · Resistencia FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Sol de America1.35

Resistencia FC1.11

1X2

42% 29% 30%

Sol de America Draw Resistencia FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sol de America 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDDDWDWD

Resistencia FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLWWDW

Head-to-head

Sol de America 1–2–3 Resistencia FC (6 last)

Resistencia FC1-3Sol de America
Resistencia FC3-2Sol de America
Sol de America1-1Resistencia FC
Sol de America0-1Resistencia FC
Resistencia FC2-1Sol de America
Resistencia FC0-0Sol de America

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sol de America 1570 · Resistencia FC 1518

	Sol de America	Draw	Resistencia FC
Our model	41%	30%	29%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1570 vs 1518).
H2H favours Resistencia FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sol de America	Resistencia FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.6	5.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.25▲	Bet365 2.25
X	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	3.00 → 2.90▼	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:22 +1’	2.15	3.20	3.00
04:36 +4’	2.25▲	3.10▼	2.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sol de America 1–2–3 Resistencia FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Sol de America
11/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Resistencia FC	3-2 HT 0-0	Sol de America
05/05/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-1 HT 0-1	Resistencia FC
20/09/22 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sol de America	0-1 HT 0-0	Resistencia FC
15/07/22 Paraguay Division Profesional	Resistencia FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Sol de America
21/05/22 Paraguay Division Profesional	Resistencia FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Sol de America

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	19	12	4	3	28	16	40
2	General Caballero JLM	19	12	3	4	41	24	39
3	Deportivo Santaní	19	11	3	5	29	16	36
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	19	10	5	4	30	19	35
5	Sol de America	19	6	11	2	25	17	29
6	Resistencia FC	19	7	7	5	22	22	28
7	Independiente FBC	19	6	8	5	28	26	26
8	Carapegua	19	7	4	8	22	31	25
9	Guairena FC	19	6	5	8	19	23	23
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	19	6	5	8	25	28	23
11	Fernando de la Mora	19	6	5	8	21	28	23
12	Deportivo Capiata	19	5	8	6	24	26	23
13	Paraguari AC	19	5	5	9	19	24	20
14	Tacuary	19	3	9	7	23	31	18
15	Encarnacion FC	19	3	3	13	15	27	12
16	3 de Noviembre	19	1	7	11	17	30	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sol de America	Resistencia FC
Deportivo Capiata	4-1 W	1-0 W
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Tacuary	1-1 D	3-1 W
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-1 D	1-0 W
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 D	0-2 L
Carapegua	1-1 D	1-1 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-0 W	2-3 L
Encarnacion FC	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sol de America

WWDDDDWDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
29/07	River Plate Asuncion Paraguay Cup	1-0	2-0	2	7	W
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
28/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	0	6	W
08/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	7	W

Resistencia FC

LWLDWLWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
07/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
01/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
28/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
18/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
14/07	Deportivo Santa Monica Paraguay Cup	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
10/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
05/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-3	2-3	6	9	L
30/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
04/06	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-3	5	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sol de America vs Resistencia FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sol de America win (42%). Probabilities: Sol de America 42%, draw 29%, Resistencia FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Sol de America vs Resistencia FC?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Sol de America 1.35 · Resistencia FC 1.11), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sol de America vs Resistencia FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.