Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Carapegua

Team pages: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes · Carapegua

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1.91

Carapegua0.97

1X2

58% 24% 18%

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Draw Carapegua

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWDLWW

Carapegua 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1–2–2 Carapegua (5 last)

Carapegua1-312 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes0-0Carapegua
Carapegua1-012 de Junio de Villa Hayes
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes1-2Carapegua
Carapegua1-112 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1556 · Carapegua 1446

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Draw	Carapegua
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.88 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (rating 1556 vs 1446).
H2H favours Carapegua: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Carapegua
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	2.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.75

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:35 +58’	1.53	3.75	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1–2–2 Carapegua

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	1-3 HT 0-2	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
04/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	0-0 HT 0-0	Carapegua
30/03/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	1-0 HT 1-0	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes
05/10/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-2 HT 0-1	Carapegua
30/06/24 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Carapegua	1-1 HT 0-1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	20	13	4	3	31	18	43
2	General Caballero JLM	20	12	4	4	41	24	40
3	Deportivo Santaní	20	12	3	5	32	18	39
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	20	10	5	5	32	22	35
5	Sol de America	20	6	12	2	25	17	30
6	Resistencia FC	20	7	8	5	22	22	29
7	Independiente FBC	20	6	9	5	28	26	27
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	20	7	5	8	27	29	26
9	Carapegua	20	7	4	9	23	34	25
10	Guairena FC	20	6	6	8	19	23	24
11	Deportivo Capiata	20	5	9	6	24	26	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	20	6	5	9	22	30	23
13	Paraguari AC	20	5	5	10	21	27	20
14	Tacuary	20	3	9	8	23	32	18
15	Encarnacion FC	20	4	3	13	18	28	15
16	3 de Noviembre	20	2	7	11	18	30	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	Carapegua
Encarnacion FC	2-0 W	1-3 L
Deportivo Santaní	2-4 L	0-2 L
Fernando de la Mora	1-1 D	2-0 W
3 de Noviembre	1-0 W	1-0 W
General Caballero JLM	1-0 W	1-2 L
Guairena FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Resistencia FC	3-2 W	1-1 D
Sol de America	0-1 L	1-1 D
Deportivo Capiata	1-1 D	2-5 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
14/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
08/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	2-4	9	6	L
01/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	11	6	W
18/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
12/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	–	3-2	–	–	W
28/06	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
07/06	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	5	5	D

Carapegua

LLDDWLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	1-3	2	3	L
16/08	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
09/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
03/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
26/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
18/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
10/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
05/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
27/06	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-2	2-5	1	2	L
06/06	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	0-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Carapegua?

According to our model, the most likely result is a 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes win (58%). Probabilities: 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 58%, draw 24%, Carapegua 18%.

How many goals are expected in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Carapegua?

The model expects 2.88 goals (12 de Junio de Villa Hayes 1.91 · Carapegua 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes vs Carapegua?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.