Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 30/08, 15:00

Prediction: Guairena FC vs Sol de America

Team pages: Guairena FC · Sol de America

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.12Total

Guairena FC0.95

Sol de America1.16

1X2

29% 30% 40%

Guairena FC Draw Sol de America

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Guairena FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDDLLD

Sol de America 3-7-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDDDDWDD

Head-to-head

Guairena FC 3–2–1 Sol de America (6 last)

Sol de America1-1Guairena FC
Sol de America1-3Guairena FC
Guairena FC2-0Sol de America
Guairena FC0-0Sol de America
Sol de America2-0Guairena FC
Guairena FC2-1Sol de America

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guairena FC 1495 · Sol de America 1565

	Guairena FC	Draw	Sol de America
Our model	28%	32%	39%
Market	30%	29%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sol de America (rating 1495 vs 1565).
H2H favours Guairena FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Guairena FC	Sol de America
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.1	2.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.7	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.10

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
08:26 +7’	3.00	3.10	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guairena FC 3–2–1 Sol de America

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-1 HT 0-1	Guairena FC
02/08/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Sol de America	1-3 HT 1-1	Guairena FC
26/04/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Sol de America
21/10/22 Paraguay Division Profesional	Guairena FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Sol de America
20/08/22 Paraguay Division Profesional	Sol de America	2-0 HT 1-0	Guairena FC
08/05/22 Paraguay Division Profesional	Guairena FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Sol de America

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	20	13	4	3	31	18	43
2	General Caballero JLM	20	12	4	4	41	24	40
3	Deportivo Santaní	20	12	3	5	32	18	39
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	20	10	5	5	32	22	35
5	Sol de America	20	6	12	2	25	17	30
6	Resistencia FC	20	7	8	5	22	22	29
7	Independiente FBC	20	6	9	5	28	26	27
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	20	7	5	8	27	29	26
9	Carapegua	20	7	4	9	23	34	25
10	Guairena FC	20	6	6	8	19	23	24
11	Deportivo Capiata	20	5	9	6	24	26	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	20	6	5	9	22	30	23
13	Paraguari AC	20	5	5	10	21	27	20
14	Tacuary	20	3	9	8	23	32	18
15	Encarnacion FC	20	4	3	13	18	28	15
16	3 de Noviembre	20	2	7	11	18	30	13

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Guairena FC	Sol de America
Deportivo Capiata	0-0 D	4-1 W
Independiente FBC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Tacuary	0-1 L	1-1 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	0-0 D	1-1 D
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 D	1-1 D
Carapegua	1-2 L	1-1 D
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	0-1 L	1-0 W
Encarnacion FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 5 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sol de America (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guairena FC

WLWLLDDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
15/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
10/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
01/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
18/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	9	4	L
12/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
01/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
06/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-1	4	8	W

Sol de America

WWDDDDDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
15/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-1	2	4	W
02/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	5	8	D
25/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	2	9	D
05/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	7	0	D
28/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
08/06	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	3-2	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guairena FC vs Sol de America?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sol de America win (40%). Probabilities: Guairena FC 29%, draw 30%, Sol de America 40%.

How many goals are expected in Guairena FC vs Sol de America?

The model expects 2.12 goals (Guairena FC 0.95 · Sol de America 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guairena FC vs Sol de America?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.