Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 23/08, 15:00

Prediction: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Santaní

Team pages: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval · Deportivo Santaní

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval1.26

Deportivo Santaní1.26

1X2

36% 29% 36%

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Draw Deportivo Santaní

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDDWDLWL

Deportivo Santaní 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0 Deportivo Santaní (1 last)

Deportivo Santaní0-2Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1517 · Deportivo Santaní 1585

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Draw	Deportivo Santaní
Our model	35%	29%	35%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Santaní (rating 1517 vs 1585).
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Deportivo Santaní
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2.2 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.9	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.50▲	Pinn 2.58 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.55 → 2.50▼	Pinn 2.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:11 +10’	2.45	3.20	2.55
04:06 +11’	2.50▲	3.20	2.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +3’	2.58	2.90	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1–0–0 Deportivo Santaní

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Santaní	0-2 HT 0-1	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	19	12	4	3	28	16	40
2	General Caballero JLM	20	12	4	4	41	24	40
3	Deportivo Santaní	19	11	3	5	29	16	36
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	19	10	5	4	30	19	35
5	Sol de America	20	6	12	2	25	17	30
6	Resistencia FC	20	7	8	5	22	22	29
7	Independiente FBC	20	6	9	5	28	26	27
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	20	7	5	8	27	29	26
9	Carapegua	19	7	4	8	22	31	25
10	Guairena FC	20	6	6	8	19	23	24
11	Deportivo Capiata	20	5	9	6	24	26	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	20	6	5	9	22	30	23
13	Paraguari AC	19	5	5	9	19	24	20
14	Tacuary	19	3	9	7	23	31	18
15	Encarnacion FC	19	3	3	13	15	27	12
16	3 de Noviembre	19	1	7	11	17	30	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	Deportivo Santaní
Fernando de la Mora	1-2 L	2-3 L
3 de Noviembre	2-1 W	4-0 W
General Caballero JLM	0-2 L	2-1 W
Guairena FC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Resistencia FC	2-0 W	3-0 W
Sol de America	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Santaní (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
09/08	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
31/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
27/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
18/07	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
12/07	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-1	1	9	D
07/07	Deportivo Capiata Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
30/06	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	2-1	1	2	W
06/06	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	8	7	W
30/05	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-2	3-4	10	8	L

Deportivo Santaní

DWWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
08/08	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	3-0	4-2	3	6	W
02/08	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/07	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	7	4	L
11/07	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	4-0	10	3	W
05/07	General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
01/07	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	5	8	W
04/06	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
29/05	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Santaní?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Dr Benjamin Aceval win (36%). Probabilities: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 36%, draw 29%, Deportivo Santaní 36%.

How many goals are expected in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.26 · Deportivo Santaní 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Dr Benjamin Aceval vs Deportivo Santaní?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.