Football · Argentina Nacional B · 03/09, 01:00
Prediction: CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland
Team pages: CA Colegiales · Ferrocarril Midland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.08Total
CA Colegiales1.15
Ferrocarril Midland0.92
1X2
CA Colegiales
Draw
Ferrocarril Midland
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Colegiales
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Ferrocarril Midland
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Colegiales
0–1–2
Ferrocarril Midland
(3 last)
- Ferrocarril Midland2-0CA Colegiales
- Ferrocarril Midland2-1CA Colegiales
- CA Colegiales1-1Ferrocarril Midland
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Colegiales 1495 · Ferrocarril Midland 1515
| CA Colegiales | Draw | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 33% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 34% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ferrocarril Midland: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Colegiales | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 33/56/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.1 | 2.3 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Colegiales 0–1–2 Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferrocarril Midland | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 15/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Ferrocarril Midland | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CA Colegiales |
| 28/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Ferrocarril Midland |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 45 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 32 | 45 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 43 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 27 | 42 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 27 | 19 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 27 | 38 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 38 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 36 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 35 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 32 |
| 12 | CA Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 31 |
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Agropecuario | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 30 | 29 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 26 | 5 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 28 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 28 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 40 | 22 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Colegiales | Ferrocarril Midland |
|---|---|---|
| Almagro | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Patronato Parana | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Quilmes | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| CA Atlanta | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 27/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 26/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Colegiales win (39%). Probabilities: CA Colegiales 39%, draw 33%, Ferrocarril Midland 27%.
How many goals are expected in CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model expects 2.08 goals (CA Colegiales 1.15 · Ferrocarril Midland 0.92), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.