Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00

Prediction: CA Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago

Team pages: CA Colegiales · Nueva Chicago

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.8Total

CA Colegiales1.11

Nueva Chicago0.69

1X2

44% 34% 22%

CA Colegiales Draw Nueva Chicago

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-0 18%

Recent form · 10 last

CA Colegiales 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDLDWW

Nueva Chicago 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLLLL

Head-to-head

CA Colegiales 0–1–0 Nueva Chicago (1 last)

Nueva Chicago0-0CA Colegiales

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Colegiales 1513 · Nueva Chicago 1449

	CA Colegiales	Draw	Nueva Chicago
Our model	44%	34%	22%
Market	45%	33%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.8 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Colegiales (rating 1513 vs 1449).
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CA Colegiales	Nueva Chicago
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	0.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5	2.3 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X2.80

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.85

Under 1.751.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:16 +6’	2.05	2.80	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Colegiales 0–1–0 Nueva Chicago

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Nueva Chicago	0-0 HT 0-0	CA Colegiales

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tristan Suarez	26	13	9	4	28	14	48
2	Club Atletico Temperley	27	12	10	5	30	22	46
3	Gimnasia Jujuy	27	13	7	7	40	33	46
4	CA Atlanta	28	14	3	11	32	28	45
5	Ferrocarril Midland	27	11	8	8	29	22	41
6	Gimnasia y Tiro	27	11	8	8	28	25	41
7	Atletico Rafaela	27	10	9	8	20	20	39
8	Deportivo Maipu	27	11	5	11	34	28	38
9	San Martin SJ	26	10	8	8	28	24	38
10	CA Colegiales	27	10	7	10	27	25	37
11	San Martin de Tucuman	28	8	12	8	27	26	36
12	Almagro	27	9	7	11	22	29	34
13	Quilmes	27	8	8	11	27	23	32
14	Agropecuario	27	7	9	11	23	31	30
15	Nueva Chicago	27	7	8	12	20	27	29
16	Patronato Parana	27	5	13	9	23	30	28
17	Chacarita Juniors	28	7	6	15	19	30	27
18	CA Guemes	26	5	8	13	21	41	23

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CA Colegiales	Nueva Chicago
Ferrocarril Midland	3-0 W	0-2 L
CA Atlanta	0-1 L	0-1 L
Gimnasia y Tiro	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CA Colegiales (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Colegiales

WLLWWDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	2-0	3-0	2	5	W
29/08	Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
22/08	Almagro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
15/08	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
09/08	Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
01/08	Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	9	5	W
27/07	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
14/07	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
04/07	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-2	8	4	L
20/06	Quilmes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	3-1	2	0	W

Nueva Chicago

DWLDLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	6	7	L
22/08	CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	7	7	L
17/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
09/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
01/08	San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B	1-1	2-1	3	9	W
25/07	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
17/07	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
11/07	Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
04/07	CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
23/06	Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Colegiales win (44%). Probabilities: CA Colegiales 44%, draw 34%, Nueva Chicago 22%.

How many goals are expected in CA Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?

The model expects 1.8 goals (CA Colegiales 1.11 · Nueva Chicago 0.69), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.