Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00

Prediction: Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs Central Norte

Team pages: Club Ciudad de Bolivar · Central Norte

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.9Total

Club Ciudad de Bolivar1.03

Central Norte0.87

1X2

37% 34% 29%

Club Ciudad de Bolivar Draw Central Norte

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Ciudad de Bolivar 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLLDWL

Central Norte 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDLLWDDWDD

Head-to-head

Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1–0 Central Norte (1 last)

Central Norte0-1Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1484 · Central Norte 1498

	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	Draw	Central Norte
Our model	37%	34%	29%
Market	37%	34%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	Central Norte
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	0.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.2	2.2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.50

X2.70

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.08

2 (+0.25)1.73

Line ⓘ

Over 1.51.77

Under 1.52.02

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:18 +4’	2.50	2.70	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1–0–0 Central Norte

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B	Central Norte	0-1 HT 0-1	Club Ciudad de Bolivar

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ferro Carril Oeste	28	16	6	6	34	25	54
2	Deportivo Moron	28	15	7	6	45	26	52
3	Colon	28	12	9	7	35	23	45
4	Almirante Brown	27	12	8	7	23	16	44
5	Deportivo Madryn	27	11	10	6	38	25	43
6	Godoy Cruz	27	12	7	8	32	24	43
7	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	27	9	11	7	23	23	38
8	CA Estudiantes Caseros	27	9	9	9	25	24	36
9	Los Andes	27	8	11	8	20	15	35
10	Racing de Cordoba	28	9	8	11	25	32	35
11	Club Atletico Mitre	28	6	13	9	27	35	31
12	All Boys	28	6	13	9	16	24	31
13	CA Chaco For Ever	27	7	8	12	25	29	29
14	Defensores de Belgrano	27	6	11	10	19	24	29
15	Central Norte	27	6	11	10	19	27	29
16	CA San Miguel	27	6	11	10	21	30	29
17	CA San Telmo	28	6	10	12	22	33	28
18	Acassuso	28	5	8	15	19	33	23

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Ciudad de Bolivar	Central Norte
Club Atletico Mitre	0-2 L	2-2 D
CA Estudiantes Caseros	2-1 W	2-1 W
All Boys	0-0 D	1-1 D
Los Andes	1-3 L	1-0 W
Godoy Cruz	3-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Central Norte (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Ciudad de Bolivar

WLDWLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-3	3	10	L
29/08	Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
23/08	Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
15/08	Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-1	8	10	L
08/08	Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-1	0-2	8	6	L
25/07	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	2-1	2-1	1	7	W
18/07	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
11/07	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
04/07	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	2-1	3-1	4	7	W

Central Norte

WDLLWDDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B	0-2	2-2	5	2	D
27/08	Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/08	CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B	0-0	2-1	12	4	W
16/08	Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
10/08	All Boys Argentina Nacional B	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
02/08	Los Andes Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
26/07	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-2	1-2	3	6	L
12/07	Colon Argentina Nacional B	0-2	0-4	5	4	L
05/07	CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B	1-1	1-1	8	4	D
21/06	Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B	1-0	1-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs Central Norte?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Ciudad de Bolivar win (37%). Probabilities: Club Ciudad de Bolivar 37%, draw 34%, Central Norte 29%.

How many goals are expected in Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs Central Norte?

The model expects 1.9 goals (Club Ciudad de Bolivar 1.03 · Central Norte 0.87), with a 55% chance of over 1.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Ciudad de Bolivar vs Central Norte?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.