Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/09, 22:00
Prediction: CA Atlanta vs CA Guemes
Team pages: CA Atlanta · CA Guemes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
CA Atlanta1.72
CA Guemes0.75
1X2
CA Atlanta
Draw
CA Guemes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atlanta
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
CA Guemes
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Atlanta
3–1
CA Guemes
(4 last)
- CA Guemes0-2CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta1-0CA Guemes
- CA Guemes2-0CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta3-1CA Guemes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Atlanta 1487 · CA Guemes 1410
| CA Atlanta | Draw | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 59% | 26% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atlanta (rating 1487 vs 1410).
- H2H favours CA Atlanta: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atlanta | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 1.4 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlanta 3–0–1 CA Guemes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 0-2 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 06/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CA Guemes |
| 03/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 19/02/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 3-1 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 14 | 48 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Temperley | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 46 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 33 | 46 |
| 4 | CA Atlanta | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 45 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 22 | 41 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 25 | 41 |
| 7 | Atletico Rafaela | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 24 | 38 |
| 10 | CA Colegiales | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 25 | 37 |
| 11 | San Martin de Tucuman | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 27 | 26 | 36 |
| 12 | Almagro | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 29 | 34 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 23 | 32 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 31 | 30 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 27 | 29 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 27 | 5 | 13 | 9 | 23 | 30 | 28 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 30 | 27 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 23 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Atlanta | CA Guemes |
|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| San Martin SJ | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Nueva Chicago | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlanta (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
2-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 14/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
CA Guemes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 24/08 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 19/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Atlanta vs CA Guemes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlanta win (59%). Probabilities: CA Atlanta 59%, draw 26%, CA Guemes 15%.
How many goals are expected in CA Atlanta vs CA Guemes?
The model expects 2.47 goals (CA Atlanta 1.72 · CA Guemes 0.75), with a 57% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Atlanta vs CA Guemes?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.