Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 21/08, 21:00

Prediction: Deportivo Capiata vs Guairena FC

Team pages: Deportivo Capiata · Guairena FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Deportivo Capiata1.35

Guairena FC1.2

1X2

39% 29% 32%

Deportivo Capiata Draw Guairena FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Capiata 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DWDLDLDLLL

Guairena FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWDDLL

Head-to-head

Deportivo Capiata 2–1 Guairena FC (3 last)

Guairena FC3-1Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata1-0Guairena FC
Guairena FC0-1Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Capiata 1441 · Guairena FC 1489

	Deportivo Capiata	Draw	Guairena FC
Our model	39%	29%	32%
Market	39%	30%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guairena FC (rating 1441 vs 1489).
H2H favours Deportivo Capiata: 2-0-1.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Capiata	Guairena FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 5.1	2.7 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.00

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:01 +21’	2.30	3.00	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Capiata 2–0–1 Guairena FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	3-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Capiata
06/07/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	1-0 HT 0-0	Guairena FC
29/03/25 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Guairena FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	19	12	4	3	28	16	40
2	General Caballero JLM	19	12	3	4	41	24	39
3	Deportivo Santaní	19	11	3	5	29	16	36
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	19	10	5	4	30	19	35
5	Sol de America	19	6	11	2	25	17	29
6	Resistencia FC	19	7	7	5	22	22	28
7	Independiente FBC	19	6	8	5	28	26	26
8	Carapegua	19	7	4	8	22	31	25
9	Guairena FC	19	6	5	8	19	23	23
10	Club Atlético Tembetary	19	6	5	8	25	28	23
11	Fernando de la Mora	19	6	5	8	21	28	23
12	Deportivo Capiata	19	5	8	6	24	26	23
13	Paraguari AC	19	5	5	9	19	24	20
14	Tacuary	19	3	9	7	23	31	18
15	Encarnacion FC	19	3	3	13	15	27	12
16	3 de Noviembre	19	1	7	11	17	30	10

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Capiata	Guairena FC
Independiente FBC	1-1 D	1-2 L
Tacuary	0-0 D	0-1 L
Club Atlético Tembetary	1-3 L	0-0 D
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	1-1 D	1-1 D
Carapegua	5-2 W	1-2 L
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Capiata (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Capiata

DWDLDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
08/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
04/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
29/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
23/07	Sportivo Iteno Paraguay Cup	0-1	2-3	9	5	L
20/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
07/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/06	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	5-2	5	2	W
07/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Guairena FC

WLWLLWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-2	4	9	L
10/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
01/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
27/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-1	0	4	D
22/07	Club Sport Colombia Paraguay Cup	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
18/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	9	4	L
12/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
06/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	2-1	3	2	W
01/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-2	12	8	L
06/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	3-1	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Capiata vs Guairena FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Capiata win (39%). Probabilities: Deportivo Capiata 39%, draw 29%, Guairena FC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Capiata vs Guairena FC?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Deportivo Capiata 1.35 · Guairena FC 1.2), with a 58% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Capiata vs Guairena FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.