Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 28/08, 23:30

Prediction: General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Capiata

Team pages: General Caballero JLM · Deportivo Capiata

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

General Caballero JLM1.91

Deportivo Capiata0.93

1X2

59% 24% 17%

General Caballero JLM Draw Deportivo Capiata

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

General Caballero JLM 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWWWWD

Deportivo Capiata 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLDDLLLD

Head-to-head

General Caballero JLM 1–5 Deportivo Capiata (6 last)

Deportivo Capiata2-1General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM0-1Deportivo Capiata
Deportivo Capiata1-3General Caballero JLM
Deportivo Capiata2-0General Caballero JLM
Deportivo Capiata3-2General Caballero JLM
General Caballero JLM1-2Deportivo Capiata

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · General Caballero JLM 1551 · Deportivo Capiata 1454

	General Caballero JLM	Draw	Deportivo Capiata
Our model	59%	24%	17%
Market	60%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours General Caballero JLM (rating 1551 vs 1454).
H2H favours Deportivo Capiata: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	General Caballero JLM	Deportivo Capiata
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	1.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.80

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
19:30 +4’	1.50	3.80	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · General Caballero JLM 1–0–5 Deportivo Capiata

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	2-1 HT 1-1	General Caballero JLM
08/10/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	General Caballero JLM	0-1	Deportivo Capiata
26/06/21 Paraguay Division Intermedia	Deportivo Capiata	1-3	General Caballero JLM
05/10/18 Paraguay Cup	Deportivo Capiata	2-0 HT 1-0	General Caballero JLM
18/11/16 Paraguay Division Profesional	Deportivo Capiata	3-2 HT 1-1	General Caballero JLM
13/08/16 Paraguay Division Profesional	General Caballero JLM	1-2 HT 1-1	Deportivo Capiata

Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	20	13	4	3	31	18	43
2	General Caballero JLM	20	12	4	4	41	24	40
3	Deportivo Santaní	20	12	3	5	32	18	39
4	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	20	10	5	5	32	22	35
5	Sol de America	20	6	12	2	25	17	30
6	Resistencia FC	20	7	8	5	22	22	29
7	Independiente FBC	20	6	9	5	28	26	27
8	Club Atlético Tembetary	20	7	5	8	27	29	26
9	Carapegua	20	7	4	9	23	34	25
10	Guairena FC	20	6	6	8	19	23	24
11	Deportivo Capiata	20	5	9	6	24	26	24
12	Fernando de la Mora	20	6	5	9	22	30	23
13	Paraguari AC	20	5	5	10	21	27	20
14	Tacuary	20	3	9	8	23	32	18
15	Encarnacion FC	20	4	3	13	18	28	15
16	3 de Noviembre	20	2	7	11	18	30	13

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	General Caballero JLM	Deportivo Capiata
Independiente FBC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Tacuary	4-1 W	0-0 D
Club Atlético Tembetary	3-1 W	1-3 L
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval	2-0 W	1-1 D
Carapegua	2-1 W	5-2 W
12 de Junio de Villa Hayes	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: General Caballero JLM (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

General Caballero JLM

WLLWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
18/08	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
11/08	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
31/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/07	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-1	0	5	W
18/07	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
11/07	Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-0	1	1	W
05/07	Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
27/06	Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	2-3	7	8	L
09/06	3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	3-2	8	9	W

Deportivo Capiata

DWDLDDLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
16/08	Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
08/08	Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-3	1-4	6	4	L
04/08	Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
29/07	Independiente FBC Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
20/07	Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
14/07	Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
07/07	Club Dr Benjamin Aceval Paraguay Division Intermedia	1-1	1-1	2	5	D
27/06	Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia	2-1	5-2	5	2	W
07/06	12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Capiata?

According to our model, the most likely result is a General Caballero JLM win (59%). Probabilities: General Caballero JLM 59%, draw 24%, Deportivo Capiata 17%.

How many goals are expected in General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model expects 2.85 goals (General Caballero JLM 1.91 · Deportivo Capiata 0.93), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in General Caballero JLM vs Deportivo Capiata?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.